The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Resistance
Downtrend Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Downtrend Resistance stock alert indicates that price is near long-term resistance trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high.

The strategy is based on selling long (or taking short) position on downtrend testing resistance. The strategy has low to medium risk and average reword.

Downtrend Resistance

Archive
- 6/20/2025 -
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NASDAQ 100 Trust Shares (QQQ) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support lineWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR
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It was the negative week for the NASDAQ 100 Trust Shares (QQQ). During the week, the QQQ gave back -0.13 points, or -0.02%, and closed at 526.83 on Friday, June 20, 2025. Weekly volume was 22% above average.

Long-term trend: [See QQQ long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on February 19, 2025 at 540.80 and reached 402.40 on April 7, 2025. QQQ lost 138.40 points, or 25.59%, in 6 weeks. The price is now at the 89.91% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See QQQ medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 402.40 and reached 536.78 on June 11, 2025. QQQ gained -134.38 points, or -33.39%, in 9 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (561.82) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See QQQ weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See QQQ short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on June 11, 2025 at 536.78 and reached 524.88 on June 20, 2025. QQQ lost 11.90 points, or 2.22%, in 9 days. The price is now at the 16.39% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See QQQ daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since May 28, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 58.11
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 14.50
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 40.84
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 61.49
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 9.67
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.89
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 6.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 95.80
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.32
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.17
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Support 561.82
Weekly Trendline Resistance 550.43
Upper Bollinger Band 536.77
Parabolic System 535.91
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 533.06
Daily Stochastic Crossing 530.05
Price 526.83
20 Day Moving Average 525.68
Lower Bollinger Band 510.05
50 Day Moving Average 498.30
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 536.78
High Date 06/11/2025
Low 524.88
Low Date 06/20/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 550.43
Support 561.82
Low 402.40
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 536.78
High Date 06/11/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 540.80
High Date 02/19/2025
Low 402.40
Low Date 04/07/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 254.26
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 540.80
High Date 02/19/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 25.05
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 540.80
High Date 02/19/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.