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- 10/3/2025 -
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Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend support line
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageLane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence
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It was the negative week for the Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL). During the week, the RCL dropped -12.84 points, or -3.93%, and closed at 314.05 on Friday, October 3, 2025. Weekly volume was -19% below average.

RCL is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See RCL long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 164.00 and reached 366.50 on August 29, 2025. RCL gained -202.50 points, or -123.48%, in 20 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (356.98) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See RCL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on August 29, 2025 at 366.50 and reached 311.27 on October 2, 2025. RCL lost 55.23 points, or 15.07%, in 4 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 290.78 and resistance is at 325.11. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See RCL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since September 19, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See RCL short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on September 23, 2025 at 340.17 and reached 311.27 on October 2, 2025. RCL lost 28.90 points, or 8.50%, in 9 days. The price is now at the 9.62% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See RCL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 8, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 33.05
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 76.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 25.75
Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 27.30
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.03 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 51.10
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 32.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 54.24
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 55.54
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 27.99
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 375.91
Monthly Trendline Support 356.98
Upper Bollinger Band 348.23
Parabolic System 338.22
50 Day Moving Average 331.33
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 329.61
20 Day Moving Average 329.61
Weekly Trendline Resistance 325.11
Daily Stochastic Crossing 317.19
Price 314.05
Lower Bollinger Band 307.80
Weekly Trendline Support 290.78
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 9
Industry Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 53
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 340.17
High Date 09/23/2025
Low 311.27
Low Date 10/02/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 325.11
Support 290.78
High 366.50
High Date 08/29/2025
Low 311.27
Low Date 10/02/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 375.91
Support 356.98
Low 164.00
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 366.50
High Date 08/29/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 31.09
Low Date 07/14/2022
High 366.50
High Date 08/29/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 19.25
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 366.50
High Date 08/29/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.