The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 6/27/2025 -
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Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is overboughtLane's Stochastic is strongly overbought
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is strongly overboughtBearish Deliberation CandlestickDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL). During the week, the RCL gained 37.12 points, or 13.63%, and closed at 309.51 on Friday, June 27, 2025. Weekly volume was 115% above average.

Long-term trend: [See RCL long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on July 14, 2022 at 31.09 and reached 310.88 on June 27, 2025. RCL gained -279.79 points, or -899.94%, in 154 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Medium-term trend: [See RCL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 164.00 and reached 310.88 on June 27, 2025. RCL gained -146.88 points, or -89.56%, in 11 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (265.58) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See RCL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See RCL short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on June 13, 2025 at 255.60 and reached 310.88 on June 27, 2025. RCL gained -55.28 points, or -21.63%, in 14 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See RCL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Lane's Stochastic.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Candlestick pattern: [See RCL candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bearish Deliberation Candlestick pattern. This pattern occurs in an uptrend;it appears after a sustained upward move and suggests that the rally is losing strength and a reversal is possible. The reliability of the Bearish Deliberation pattern is medium. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bearish Deliberation Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 72.30
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 25.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 94.43
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.42
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 9.92
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 69.89
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.10
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 92.54
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.81
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 9.25
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Price 309.51
Daily Stochastic Crossing 307.66
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 304.32
Monthly Trendline Resistance 301.57
Upper Bollinger Band 296.43
20 Day Moving Average 272.28
Monthly Trendline Support 265.58
Parabolic System 264.10
Lower Bollinger Band 247.12
50 Day Moving Average 246.48
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 6
Industry Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 94
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 255.60
Low Date 06/13/2025
High 310.88
High Date 06/27/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 255.60
Low Date 06/13/2025
High 310.88
High Date 06/27/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 301.57
Support 265.58
Low 164.00
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 310.88
High Date 06/27/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 31.09
Low Date 07/14/2022
High 310.88
High Date 06/27/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 19.25
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 310.88
High Date 06/27/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.