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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 12/13/2024 -
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Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorRelative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are overboughtLane's Stochastic is strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineBroken trend resistance lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Stochastic has declined below the signal lineDaily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR
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It was the negative week for the Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd (RCL). During the week, the RCL dropped -12.89 points, or -4.99%, and closed at 245.20 on Friday, December 13, 2024. It was the worst weekly loss since August 2, 2024. Weekly volume was -9% below average.

RCL is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the second most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See RCL long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on July 14, 2022 at 31.09 and reached 258.70 on December 9, 2024. RCL gained -227.61 points, or -732.10%, in 125 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (140.72) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See RCL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 26, 2023 at 78.35 and reached 258.70 on December 9, 2024. RCL gained -180.35 points, or -230.19%, in 58 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (172.62) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See RCL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since September 20, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See RCL short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 5, 2024 at 130.08 and reached 258.70 on December 9, 2024. RCL gained -128.62 points, or -98.88%, in 126 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 219.91 and resistance is at 261.78. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See RCL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 58.25
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 43.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 22.38
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 45.74
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 9.41
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 88.74
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 11.30
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 93.24
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.74
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 19.68
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 261.78
Parabolic System 258.32
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 254.02
Upper Bollinger Band 253.90
Daily Stochastic Crossing 246.10
Price 245.20
20 Day Moving Average 242.98
Lower Bollinger Band 227.59
50 Day Moving Average 221.05
Weekly Trendline Support 219.91
Monthly Trendline Resistance 207.26
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 202.53
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 8
Industry Hotels, Resorts & Cruise Lines 121
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 258.70
High Date 12/09/2024
Low 243.10
Low Date 12/13/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 261.78
Support 219.91
Low 130.08
Low Date 08/05/2024
High 258.70
High Date 12/09/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 207.26
Support 172.62
Low 78.35
Low Date 10/26/2023
High 258.70
High Date 12/09/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 202.53
Support 140.72
Low 31.09
Low Date 07/14/2022
High 258.70
High Date 12/09/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 19.25
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 258.70
High Date 12/09/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.