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- 8/15/2025 -
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iShares Lehman 20+ Year Treas Bond (TLT) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsThe Bollinger Bands are historically close together
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It was the negative week for the iShares Lehman 20+ Year Treas Bond (TLT). During the week, the TLT dropped -0.89 points, or -1.02%, and closed at 86.40 on Friday, August 15, 2025. Weekly volume was -16% below average.

Long-term trend: [See TLT long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 17, 2024 at 101.64 and reached 83.30 on May 22, 2025. TLT lost 18.34 points, or 18.04%, in 35 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 82.26 and resistance is at 89.08. A Falling Wedge is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the downside. It represents the loss of a downside momentum on each successive low and has a bullish bias. The Falling wedge usually marks a reversal in a downtrend. In an uptrend a falling wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Falling Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See TLT medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on May 22, 2025 at 83.30 and reached 88.45 on August 5, 2025. TLT gained -5.15 points, or -6.18%, in 10 weeks. The chart has formed a Ascending Triangle chart pattern. The trend support level is at 84.74 and resistance is at 88.45. An Ascending Triangle is a variation of triangle formation that has a flat resistance line and rising support line. The higher lows indicate an increasing demand and give the ascending triangle definitive bullish bias. An Ascending Triangle usually represents an accumulation stage in bullish market. An Ascending Triangle is considered to be a continuation pattern, especially in an uptrend, but it may also mark a reversal in a downtrend. Use the following link to access a Ascending Triangle chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Ascending Triangle pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See TLT weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 27, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See TLT short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on July 16, 2025 at 84.19 and reached 88.45 on August 5, 2025. TLT gained -4.26 points, or -5.06%, in 20 days. The price is now at the 48.12% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See TLT daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The distance between the Bollinger Bands (3.43%) is close to one year low (3.13%). It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a buy signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 53.82
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 60.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 31.09
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 41.34
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.25
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 47.57
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 68.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 62.89
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 48.53
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.10
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 89.08
Upper Bollinger Band 88.48
Weekly Trendline Resistance 88.45
Parabolic System 88.37
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 87.14
20 Day Moving Average 87.01
Daily Stochastic Crossing 86.81
50 Day Moving Average 86.68
Price 86.40
Lower Bollinger Band 85.54
Weekly Trendline Support 84.74
Quarterly Trendline Support 82.26
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 84.19
Low Date 07/16/2025
High 88.45
High Date 08/05/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Ascending Triangle
Status Valid
Resistance 88.45
Support 84.74
Low 83.30
Low Date 05/22/2025
High 88.45
High Date 08/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 94.09
High Date 04/04/2025
Low 83.30
Low Date 05/22/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 89.08
Support 82.26
High 101.64
High Date 09/17/2024
Low 83.30
Low Date 05/22/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 179.70
High Date 03/09/2020
Low 82.42
Low Date 10/23/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.