The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 4/25/2025 -
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iShares Lehman 20+ Year Treas Bond (TLT) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineA Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the priceBullish Doji CandlestickThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the iShares Lehman 20+ Year Treas Bond (TLT). During the week, the TLT gained 1.36 points, or 1.55%, and closed at 88.89 on Friday, April 25, 2025. Weekly volume was -15% below average.

Long-term trend: [See TLT long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 23, 2023 at 82.42 and reached 101.64 on September 17, 2024. TLT gained -19.22 points, or -23.32%, in 47 weeks. The price is now at the 66.34% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See TLT medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on January 14, 2025 at 84.89 and reached 94.09 on April 4, 2025. TLT gained -9.20 points, or -10.84%, in 11 weeks. The price is now at the 56.52% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See TLT weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since February 21, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See TLT short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on April 4, 2025 at 94.09 and reached 85.00 on April 11, 2025. TLT lost 9.09 points, or 9.66%, in 7 days. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See TLT daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (89.2) comes close to the price (88.89). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Candlestick pattern: [See TLT candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bullish Doji Candlestick pattern. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bullish Doji Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 36.40
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 57.10
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 57.40
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 45.57
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.68
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 54.56
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 59.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 43.34
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 44.88
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.99
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 92.45
50 Day Moving Average 89.71
Parabolic System 89.20
Price 88.89
20 Day Moving Average 88.87
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 88.78
Daily Stochastic Crossing 88.08
Lower Bollinger Band 84.56
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
High 94.09
High Date 04/04/2025
Low 85.00
Low Date 04/11/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 84.89
Low Date 01/14/2025
High 94.09
High Date 04/04/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 101.64
High Date 09/17/2024
Low 84.89
Low Date 01/14/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 82.42
Low Date 10/23/2023
High 101.64
High Date 09/17/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 179.70
High Date 03/09/2020
Low 82.42
Low Date 10/23/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.