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Downtrend Broken Resistance

Downtrend Broken Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Downtrend broken resistance stock market alert is a trend trading warning signal. It is a confirmation that long term downtrend reversal is completed and a new uptrend is establiched.

Unlike other alerts, broken resistance is not a buy/sell signal. It is rather warning signal that trend direction has changed. For entry point it is usually better to wait for pull back and retest of resistance line. This point is considered as a second chance to participate in downtrend reversal.

Downtrend Broken Resist.

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- 9/26/2025 -
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iShares Lehman 20+ Year Treas Bond (TLT) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineLane's Stochastic is oversoldThe price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the iShares Lehman 20+ Year Treas Bond (TLT). During the week, the TLT gave back -0.12 points, or -0.13%, and closed at 88.90 on Friday, September 26, 2025. Weekly volume was -28% below average.

Long-term trend: [See TLT long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 17, 2024 at 101.64 and reached 83.30 on May 22, 2025. TLT lost 18.34 points, or 18.04%, in 35 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (81.74) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See TLT medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on May 22, 2025 at 83.30 and reached 91.04 on September 17, 2025. TLT gained -7.74 points, or -9.29%, in 16 weeks. The chart has formed a Ascending Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (85.96) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See TLT weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 27, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See TLT short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on September 2, 2025 at 85.48 and reached 91.04 on September 17, 2025. TLT gained -5.56 points, or -6.50%, in 15 days. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The trend support level is at 89.41 and resistance is at 88.10. A Symmetric Triangle pattern represents the area of indecision, where the movement direction is questioned. Chart pattern analysis usually considers a symmetric triangle chart pattern as a continuation formation which resolves in the direction of larger trend, but it also may mark the trend reversal. Use the following link to access a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Symmetric Triangle pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See TLT daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 41.76
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 36.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 18.48
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 41.13
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.60
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 59.60
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 26.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 73.48
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 66.44
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.61
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 91.41
Parabolic System 90.10
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 89.70
Weekly Trendline Support 89.41
Daily Stochastic Crossing 89.01
Price 88.90
20 Day Moving Average 88.87
Monthly Trendline Resistance 88.47
Weekly Trendline Resistance 88.10
50 Day Moving Average 87.67
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 87.48
Lower Bollinger Band 86.16
Monthly Trendline Support 85.96
Quarterly Trendline Support 81.74
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 91.04
High Date 09/17/2025
Low 88.46
Low Date 09/25/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Valid
Resistance 88.10
Support 89.41
Low 85.48
Low Date 09/02/2025
High 91.04
High Date 09/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Ascending Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 88.47
Support 85.96
Low 83.30
Low Date 05/22/2025
High 91.04
High Date 09/17/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 87.48
Support 81.74
High 101.64
High Date 09/17/2024
Low 83.30
Low Date 05/22/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 179.70
High Date 03/09/2020
Low 82.42
Low Date 10/23/2023
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.