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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 9/25/2026 -
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Under Armo (UAA) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance lineWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price is below the lower Bollinger BandBearish Three Black Crows CandlestickRelative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range oversoldLane's Stochastic is strongly oversold
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It was the negative week for the Under Armo (UAA). During the week, the UAA dropped -0.45 points, or -9.22%, and closed at 4.43 on Friday, September 25, 2026. Weekly volume was 11% above average.

Long-term trend: [See UAA long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on November 3, 2021 at 27.28 and reached 4.13 on November 20, 2025. UAA lost 23.15 points, or 84.86%, in 211 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (2.81) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See UAA medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 4.13 and reached 8.15 on February 20, 2026. UAA gained -4.02 points, or -97.34%, in 13 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (5.36) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. UAA may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See UAA weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since August 7, 2026. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See UAA short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on September 3, 2026 at 5.32 and reached 4.41 on September 25, 2026. UAA lost 0.91 points, or 17.11%, in 22 days. Price is near the trend low.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See UAA daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are oversold while Lane's Stochastic is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range or strongly oversold daily Lane's Stochastic. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Candlestick pattern: [See UAA candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bearish Three Black Crows Candlestick pattern. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bearish Three Black Crows Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 18.94
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 87.80
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 6.83
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 12.64
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.25
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 32.91
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 96.40
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 6.16
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.60
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.06
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
50 Day Moving Average 5.67
Upper Bollinger Band 5.38
20 Day Moving Average 4.92
Parabolic System 4.88
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 4.56
Lower Bollinger Band 4.50
Daily Stochastic Crossing 4.44
Price 4.43
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 4
Industry Apparel, Accessories & Luxury Goods 14
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 5.32
High Date 09/03/2026
Low 4.41
Low Date 09/25/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 7.50
High Date 07/17/2026
Low 4.41
Low Date 09/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 8.15
High Date 02/20/2026
Low 4.41
Low Date 09/25/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 7.18
Support 5.36
Low 4.13
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 8.15
High Date 02/20/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 2.33
Support 2.81
High 27.28
High Date 11/03/2021
Low 4.13
Low Date 11/20/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.