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Downtrend Broken Resistance

Downtrend Broken Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Downtrend broken resistance stock market alert is a trend trading warning signal. It is a confirmation that long term downtrend reversal is completed and a new uptrend is establiched.

Unlike other alerts, broken resistance is not a buy/sell signal. It is rather warning signal that trend direction has changed. For entry point it is usually better to wait for pull back and retest of resistance line. This point is considered as a second chance to participate in downtrend reversal.

Downtrend Broken Resist.

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- 9/26/2025 -
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Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc (ULTA) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceBroken trend resistance lineTrend resistance at 553.69
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Ulta Salon, Cosmetics & Fragrance Inc (ULTA). During the week, the ULTA gained 30.53 points, or 5.85%, and closed at 552.00 on Friday, September 26, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since May 30, 2025. Weekly volume was -35% below average.

ULTA is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See ULTA long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on March 14, 2024 at 574.76 and reached 309.00 on March 13, 2025. ULTA lost 265.76 points, or 46.24%, in 52 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (300.46) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. ULTA may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ULTA medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on September 9, 2025 at 505.65 and reached 552.45 on September 26, 2025. ULTA gained -46.80 points, or -9.26%, in 2 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (553.69). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ULTA weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since April 25, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ULTA short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on September 22, 2025 at 514.88 and reached 552.45 on September 26, 2025. ULTA gained -37.57 points, or -7.30%, in 4 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ULTA daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 67.18
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 19.60
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 74.25
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 73.95
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.18
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 67.87
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 7.80
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 80.15
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 77.29
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 31.14 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 553.69
Price 552.00
Upper Bollinger Band 550.79
Daily Stochastic Crossing 546.31
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 537.35
20 Day Moving Average 524.63
Monthly Trendline Support 519.29
50 Day Moving Average 519.01
Parabolic System 514.13
Lower Bollinger Band 503.15
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 9
Industry Specialty Stores 72
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 514.88
Low Date 09/22/2025
High 552.45
High Date 09/26/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 514.88
Low Date 09/22/2025
High 552.45
High Date 09/26/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 553.69
Support 519.29
Low 505.65
Low Date 09/09/2025
High 552.45
High Date 09/26/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 309.00
Low Date 03/13/2025
High 552.45
High Date 09/26/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 359.24
Support 300.46
High 574.76
High Date 03/14/2024
Low 309.00
Low Date 03/13/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.