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Archive
- 12/5/2025 -
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Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW) Technical Analysis
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| Summary:
| | | Weekly : | | Daily :
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| | It was the negative week for the Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW). During the week, the VAW gave back -1.68 points, or -0.83%, and closed at 201.37 on Friday, December 5, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since October 31, 2025. Weekly volume was -24% below average.
 Long-term trend: [See VAW long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on October 18, 2024 at 215.82 and reached 161.40 on April 8, 2025. VAW lost 54.42 points, or 25.22%, in 24 weeks. The price is now at the 73.45% retracement level.
Medium-term trend: [See VAW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 11, 2025 at 210.34 and reached 190.29 on November 20, 2025. VAW lost 20.05 points, or 9.53%, in 10 weeks. The price is now at the 55.26% retracement level.
 Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VAW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.
The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 17, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.
 Short-term trend: [See VAW short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 190.29 and reached 204.29 on December 1, 2025. VAW gained -14.00 points, or -7.36%, in 11 days. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (204.16) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.
 Daily Technical Indicators: [See VAW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.
The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 21, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane.
Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. While daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.
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