The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 7/24/2026 -
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Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SARDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week for the Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW). During the week, the VAW gained 3.18 points, or 1.42%, and closed at 226.79 on Friday, July 24, 2026. Weekly volume was -36% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VAW long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 190.29 and reached 245.26 on February 25, 2026. VAW gained -54.97 points, or -28.89%, in 13 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend support line (231.22) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VAW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on June 17, 2026 at 240.89 and reached 221.00 on July 20, 2026. VAW lost 19.89 points, or 8.26%, in 4 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (218.56) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VAW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since March 20, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VAW short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on July 23, 2026 at 223.15 and reached 226.79 on July 24, 2026. VAW gained -3.64 points, or -1.63%, in 1 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VAW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 41.17
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 72.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 39.27
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 35.96
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.72
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 39.76
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 53.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 34.69
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 43.00
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.26
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 239.49
Upper Bollinger Band 232.74
Quarterly Trendline Support 231.22
50 Day Moving Average 229.24
Parabolic System 228.69
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 226.80
Price 226.79
20 Day Moving Average 226.59
Monthly Trendline Resistance 226.01
Daily Stochastic Crossing 223.84
Lower Bollinger Band 220.36
Monthly Trendline Support 218.56
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 223.15
Low Date 07/23/2026
High 226.79
High Date 07/24/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 223.15
Low Date 07/23/2026
High 226.79
High Date 07/24/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 226.01
Support 218.56
High 240.89
High Date 06/17/2026
Low 221.00
Low Date 07/20/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 239.49
Support 231.22
Low 190.29
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 245.26
High Date 02/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 161.40
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 245.26
High Date 02/25/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.