The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 4/24/2026 -
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Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtStochastic signal line moved below overbought areaThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR20 Day Moving Average has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AveragePrice is near the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level
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During the week, the VAW has not change and closed at 236.06 on Friday, April 24, 2026. Weekly volume was -28% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VAW long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 161.40 and reached 245.26 on February 25, 2026. VAW gained -83.86 points, or -51.96%, in 46 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 213.60 and resistance is at 257.82. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VAW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 190.29 and reached 245.26 on February 25, 2026. VAW gained -54.97 points, or -28.89%, in 13 weeks. The price is now at the 16.74% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VAW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since March 20, 2026. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VAW short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on April 17, 2026 at 238.40 and reached 231.89 on April 23, 2026. VAW lost 6.51 points, or 2.73%, in 6 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VAW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since March 30, 2026. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 66.83
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 19.20
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 49.71
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 65.77
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.05
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 56.25
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 22.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 53.58
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 60.91
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 7.30
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 257.82
Upper Bollinger Band 243.19
Parabolic System 238.02
Price 236.06
Daily Stochastic Crossing 234.50
20 Day Moving Average 231.81
50 Day Moving Average 231.30
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 231.17
Lower Bollinger Band 221.58
Yearly Trendline Support 213.60
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 231.89
Low Date 04/23/2026
High 236.10
High Date 04/24/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 238.40
High Date 04/17/2026
Low 231.89
Low Date 04/23/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 210.14
Low Date 03/20/2026
High 238.40
High Date 04/17/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 190.29
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 245.26
High Date 02/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 257.82
Support 213.60
Low 161.40
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 245.26
High Date 02/25/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.