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Downtrend ExhaustionArchive
- 11/21/2025 -
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Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW) Technical Analysis
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| Summary:
| | Weekly :  | | Daily :
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| | It was the negative week for the Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW). During the week, the VAW gave back -1.26 points, or -0.64%, and closed at 194.54 on Friday, November 21, 2025. Weekly volume was 24% above average.
 Long-term trend: [See VAW long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 161.40 and reached 210.34 on September 11, 2025. VAW gained -48.94 points, or -30.32%, in 22 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (221.72) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. VAW may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.
 Medium-term trend: [See VAW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 11, 2025 at 210.34 and reached 190.29 on November 20, 2025. VAW lost 20.05 points, or 9.53%, in 10 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 187.01 and resistance is at 199.62. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.
 Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VAW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.
The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 17, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.
 Short-term trend: [See VAW short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on November 12, 2025 at 200.79 and reached 190.29 on November 20, 2025. VAW lost 10.50 points, or 5.23%, in 8 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.
 Daily Technical Indicators: [See VAW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.
During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.
During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.
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