The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
Sign In Dec 26, 2025
Skip Navigation Links
Share
Number of records: 1
Symbol:  

• Symbol Lookup
• View Technical Chart
• Add to Watch List
• Candlestick Patterns - N/A
• Stock Technical Indicators
• Stock Trends Analysis
• Market Sector Rank
• Stock Trading Signals

Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 12/19/2025 -
Sign In to see current Signals.

Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW) Technical Analysis

Subscribe to TheGreedyTrader Weekly Alerts
Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtWeekly  MACD line has moved above its signal line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the price20 Day Moving Average has crossed above the 50 Day Moving Average
Move cursor over the icon to see details.

It was a second consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW). During the week, the VAW climbed 0.24 points, or 0.12%, and closed at 207.31 on Friday, December 19, 2025. Weekly volume was -30% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VAW long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on October 18, 2024 at 215.82 and reached 161.40 on April 8, 2025. VAW lost 54.42 points, or 25.22%, in 24 weeks. The price is now at the 84.36% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See VAW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 161.40 and reached 210.34 on September 11, 2025. VAW gained -48.94 points, or -30.32%, in 22 weeks. The price is now at the 6.19% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VAW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

During the last week, weekly MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VAW short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 190.29 and reached 209.30 on December 12, 2025. VAW gained -19.01 points, or -9.99%, in 22 days. The price is now at the 10.47% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VAW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 21, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (205.34) comes close to the price (207.31). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 62.76
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 14.80
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 75.36
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 74.43
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.73
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49.07
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 18.80
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 57.59
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 64.12
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.13
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 210.53
Price 207.31
Daily Stochastic Crossing 206.61
Parabolic System 205.34
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 203.45
20 Day Moving Average 202.60
50 Day Moving Average 200.01
Lower Bollinger Band 195.47
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 198.62
Low Date 12/10/2025
High 209.30
High Date 12/12/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 190.29
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 209.30
High Date 12/12/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 210.34
High Date 09/11/2025
Low 190.29
Low Date 11/20/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 161.40
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 210.34
High Date 09/11/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 215.82
High Date 10/18/2024
Low 161.40
Low Date 04/08/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.