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Downtrend ExhaustionArchive
- 3/20/2026 -
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Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW) Technical Analysis
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| Summary:
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| | It was the negative week for the Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW). During the week, the VAW dropped -10.99 points, or -4.94%, and closed at 211.37 on Friday, March 20, 2026. Weekly volume was 38% above average.
 Long-term trend: [See VAW long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 161.40 and reached 245.26 on February 25, 2026. VAW gained -83.86 points, or -51.96%, in 46 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 205.20 and resistance is at 250.47. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.
 Medium-term trend: [See VAW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 190.29 and reached 245.26 on February 25, 2026. VAW gained -54.97 points, or -28.89%, in 13 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (250.52) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. VAW may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.
 Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VAW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.
The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 12, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.
 Short-term trend: [See VAW short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 10, 2026 at 230.16 and reached 210.14 on March 20, 2026. VAW lost 20.02 points, or 8.70%, in 10 days. The price is now at the 6.14% retracement level.
 Daily Technical Indicators: [See VAW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold while Relative Strength Index is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold daily Relative Strength Index. Daily MACD has bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.
The daily MACD line is below its signal line since February 18, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane.
The distance between the Bollinger Bands is 143.94% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.
During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.
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