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Downtrend ExhaustionArchive
- 1/30/2026 -
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Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW) Technical Analysis
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| Summary:
| | Weekly : | | Daily :
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| | It was the negative week for the Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW). During the week, the VAW dropped -6.03 points, or -2.61%, and closed at 225.07 on Friday, January 30, 2026. It was the worst weekly loss since October 31, 2025. Weekly volume was 56% above average.
 Long-term trend: [See VAW long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 161.40 and reached 233.80 on January 26, 2026. VAW gained -72.40 points, or -44.86%, in 41 weeks. The price is now at the 12.06% retracement level.
 Medium-term trend: [See VAW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on December 10, 2025 at 198.62 and reached 233.80 on January 26, 2026. VAW gained -35.18 points, or -17.71%, in 6 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (229.52) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.
 Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VAW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.
The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 12, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.
 Short-term trend: [See VAW short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on January 26, 2026 at 233.80 and reached 223.09 on January 30, 2026. VAW lost 10.71 points, or 4.58%, in 4 days. The price is now at the 18.49% retracement level.
 Daily Technical Indicators: [See VAW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.
During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.
During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.
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