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Downtrend ExhaustionArchive
- 5/15/2026 -
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Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW) Technical Analysis
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| Summary:
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| | It was the negative week for the Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW). During the week, the VAW dropped -6.31 points, or -2.71%, and closed at 226.94 on Friday, May 15, 2026. It was the worst weekly loss since March 20, 2026. Weekly volume was -6% below average.
 Long-term trend: [See VAW long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 161.40 and reached 245.26 on February 25, 2026. VAW gained -83.86 points, or -51.96%, in 46 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 216.63 and resistance is at 262.41. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.
 Medium-term trend: [See VAW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 190.29 and reached 245.26 on February 25, 2026. VAW gained -54.97 points, or -28.89%, in 13 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The trend support level is at 219.70 and resistance is at 237.73. A Symmetric Triangle pattern represents the area of indecision, where the movement direction is questioned. Chart pattern analysis usually considers a symmetric triangle chart pattern as a continuation formation which resolves in the direction of larger trend, but it also may mark the trend reversal. Use the following link to access a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Symmetric Triangle pattern in a medium-term trend.
 Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VAW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.
The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since March 20, 2026. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.
 Short-term trend: [See VAW short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on May 13, 2026 at 237.25 and reached 226.90 on May 15, 2026. VAW lost 10.35 points, or 4.36%, in 2 days. Price is near the trend low.
Daily Technical Indicators: [See VAW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.
The daily MACD line is below its signal line since May 14, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting stronger.
During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.
The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.
During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.
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