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Downtrend ExhaustionArchive
- 1/2/2026 -
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Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW) Technical Analysis
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| Summary:
| | Weekly :  | | Daily :
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| | It was the negative week for the Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW). During the week, the VAW gave back -0.86 points, or -0.41%, and closed at 210.93 on Friday, January 2, 2026. Weekly volume was -14% below average.
 Long-term trend: [See VAW long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on October 18, 2024 at 215.82 and reached 161.40 on April 8, 2025. VAW lost 54.42 points, or 25.22%, in 24 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (195.44) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.
 Medium-term trend: [See VAW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 190.29 and reached 211.80 on December 26, 2025. VAW gained -21.51 points, or -11.30%, in 5 weeks. Price is near the trend high.
 Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VAW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.
The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 12, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.
Short-term trend: [See VAW short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on December 31, 2025 at 207.54 and reached 210.95 on January 2, 2026. VAW gained -3.41 points, or -1.64%, in 2 days. Price is near the trend high.
 Daily Technical Indicators: [See VAW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.
The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 21, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.
During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.
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