The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 6/12/2026 -
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Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Trend resistance at 235.18
Daily :The price has risen above the Parabolic SARPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week for the Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW). During the week, the VAW gained 7.28 points, or 3.20%, and closed at 235.13 on Friday, June 12, 2026. It was the best weekly gain since April 10, 2026. Weekly volume was 11% above average.

Long-term trend: [See VAW long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 161.40 and reached 245.26 on February 25, 2026. VAW gained -83.86 points, or -51.96%, in 46 weeks. The price is now at the 12.08% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See VAW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 190.29 and reached 245.26 on February 25, 2026. VAW gained -54.97 points, or -28.89%, in 13 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (235.18). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VAW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since March 20, 2026. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VAW short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on June 4, 2026 at 236.42 and reached 223.22 on June 10, 2026. VAW lost 13.20 points, or 5.58%, in 6 days. The price is now at the 90.23% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VAW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since June 11, 2026. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 59.01
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 21.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 37.48
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 58.49
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.38
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 56.33
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 34.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 64.71
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 61.81
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 6.04
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 238.42
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 235.18
Price 235.13
50 Day Moving Average 231.95
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 231.21
20 Day Moving Average 229.49
Daily Stochastic Crossing 229.37
Quarterly Trendline Support 224.35
Parabolic System 223.00
Lower Bollinger Band 222.65
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 236.42
High Date 06/04/2026
Low 223.22
Low Date 06/10/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 220.68
Low Date 05/19/2026
High 236.42
High Date 06/04/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 238.54
High Date 05/07/2026
Low 220.68
Low Date 05/19/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 235.18
Support 224.35
Low 190.29
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 245.26
High Date 02/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 161.40
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 245.26
High Date 02/25/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.