The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
Sign In Dec 19, 2025
Skip Navigation Links
Share
Number of records: 1
Symbol:  

• Symbol Lookup
• View Technical Chart
• Add to Watch List
• Candlestick Patterns - N/A
• Stock Technical Indicators
• Stock Trends Analysis
• Market Sector Rank
• Stock Trading Signals

Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 12/12/2025 -
Sign In to see current Signals.

Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW) Technical Analysis

Subscribe to TheGreedyTrader Weekly Alerts
Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic signal line moved below overbought areaLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence
Move cursor over the icon to see details.

It was a first positive week for the Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW). During the week, the VAW gained 5.70 points, or 2.83%, and closed at 207.07 on Friday, December 12, 2025. Weekly volume was -29% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VAW long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on October 18, 2024 at 215.82 and reached 161.40 on April 8, 2025. VAW lost 54.42 points, or 25.22%, in 24 weeks. The price is now at the 83.92% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See VAW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 11, 2025 at 210.34 and reached 190.29 on November 20, 2025. VAW lost 20.05 points, or 9.53%, in 10 weeks. The price is now at the 83.69% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VAW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 17, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VAW short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 190.29 and reached 209.30 on December 12, 2025. VAW gained -19.01 points, or -9.99%, in 22 days. The price is now at the 11.73% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VAW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 21, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 75.00
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 55.90
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 76.25
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.79 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 48.80
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 7.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 46.98
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 63.33
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.17
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 210.15
Price 207.07
Daily Stochastic Crossing 205.22
Parabolic System 200.88
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 199.88
50 Day Moving Average 199.81
20 Day Moving Average 199.18
Lower Bollinger Band 191.35
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 198.62
Low Date 12/10/2025
High 209.30
High Date 12/12/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 190.29
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 209.30
High Date 12/12/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 210.34
High Date 09/11/2025
Low 190.29
Low Date 11/20/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 161.40
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 210.34
High Date 09/11/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 215.82
High Date 10/18/2024
Low 161.40
Low Date 04/08/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.