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Downtrend Broken Resist.Archive
- 9/26/2025 -
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Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW) Technical Analysis
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| Summary:
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| | It was the negative week for the Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW). During the week, the VAW dropped -4.02 points, or -1.95%, and closed at 202.60 on Friday, September 26, 2025. Weekly volume was -40% below average.
 Long-term trend: [See VAW long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on October 18, 2024 at 215.82 and reached 161.40 on April 8, 2025. VAW lost 54.42 points, or 25.22%, in 24 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (114.20) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.
 Medium-term trend: [See VAW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 161.40 and reached 210.34 on September 11, 2025. VAW gained -48.94 points, or -30.32%, in 22 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (206.45) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. VAW may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.
 Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VAW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.
The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.
 Short-term trend: [See VAW short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on September 23, 2025 at 208.77 and reached 199.97 on September 25, 2025. VAW lost 8.80 points, or 4.22%, in 2 days. The price is now at the 29.89% retracement level.
 Daily Technical Indicators: [See VAW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.
The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 8, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.
During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.
During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is up and daily technical indicators are oversold, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a support level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.
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