The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 1/23/2026 -
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Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
Daily :Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Materials ETF (VAW). During the week, the VAW gained 6.18 points, or 2.75%, and closed at 231.10 on Friday, January 23, 2026. Weekly volume was 123% above average.

Long-term trend: [See VAW long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 161.40 and reached 231.23 on January 23, 2026. VAW gained -69.83 points, or -43.27%, in 41 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Medium-term trend: [See VAW medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 190.29 and reached 231.23 on January 23, 2026. VAW gained -40.94 points, or -21.51%, in 9 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VAW weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 12, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VAW short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 20, 2026 at 222.33 and reached 231.23 on January 23, 2026. VAW gained -8.90 points, or -4.00%, in 3 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VAW daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 21, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 81.37
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 8.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.71
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 87.62
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 5.35 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 77.42
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.80
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 94.47
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 84.45
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.50
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 234.69
Price 231.10
Daily Stochastic Crossing 230.34
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 229.61
Parabolic System 224.63
20 Day Moving Average 219.17
50 Day Moving Average 208.33
Lower Bollinger Band 205.35
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 222.33
Low Date 01/20/2026
High 231.23
High Date 01/23/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 222.33
Low Date 01/20/2026
High 231.23
High Date 01/23/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 198.62
Low Date 12/10/2025
High 231.23
High Date 01/23/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 190.29
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 231.23
High Date 01/23/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 161.40
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 231.23
High Date 01/23/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.