The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 2/20/2026 -
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Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support lineTrend resistance at 388.78
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldA Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the price
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It was a first positive week after 3 consecutive negative weeks for the Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR). During the week, the VCR gained 4.74 points, or 1.23%, and closed at 388.61 on Friday, February 20, 2026. Weekly volume was -36% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VCR long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 285.10 and reached 414.28 on January 12, 2026. VCR gained -129.18 points, or -45.31%, in 40 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (392.67) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. VCR may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VCR medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on January 12, 2026 at 414.28 and reached 378.46 on February 17, 2026. VCR lost 35.82 points, or 8.65%, in 5 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (388.78). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VCR weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since January 30, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VCR short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on February 17, 2026 at 378.46 and reached 389.88 on February 18, 2026. VCR gained -11.42 points, or -3.02%, in 1 days. The price is now at the 11.12% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VCR daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since January 16, 2026. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (389.37) comes close to the price (388.61). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 36.84
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 83.60
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 36.87
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 30.05
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.41
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 54.17
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 60.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 47.45
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 47.43
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 7.73
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 417.75
Upper Bollinger Band 407.53
50 Day Moving Average 398.58
20 Day Moving Average 393.82
Quarterly Trendline Support 392.67
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 392.57
Parabolic System 389.37
Monthly Trendline Resistance 388.78
Price 388.61
Daily Stochastic Crossing 385.66
Lower Bollinger Band 376.81
Monthly Trendline Support 373.54
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 378.46
Low Date 02/17/2026
High 389.88
High Date 02/18/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 378.46
Low Date 02/17/2026
High 389.88
High Date 02/18/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 388.78
Support 373.54
High 414.28
High Date 01/12/2026
Low 378.46
Low Date 02/17/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 417.75
Support 392.67
Low 285.10
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 414.28
High Date 01/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 213.73
Low Date 12/28/2022
High 414.28
High Date 01/12/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.