The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 10/3/2025 -
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Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support lineWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought
Daily :Broken trend support lineThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsThe Bollinger Bands are historically close together
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It was the negative week for the Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR). During the week, the VCR gave back -3.14 points, or -0.79%, and closed at 394.12 on Friday, October 3, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since August 1, 2025. Weekly volume was -50% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VCR long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 285.10 and reached 404.00 on September 17, 2025. VCR gained -118.90 points, or -41.70%, in 23 weeks. The price is now at the 8.31% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See VCR medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on August 1, 2025 at 357.76 and reached 404.00 on September 17, 2025. VCR gained -46.24 points, or -12.92%, in 6 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (395.45) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VCR weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 23, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VCR short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on September 25, 2025 at 390.25 and reached 400.14 on October 2, 2025. VCR gained -9.89 points, or -2.53%, in 7 days. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (396.07) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VCR daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 22, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The distance between the Bollinger Bands (3.51%) is close to one year low (3.35%). It is 62.80% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a buy signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 42.45
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 35.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 53.38
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 53.49
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.87
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 69.13
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.90
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.72
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 78.03
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 9.56
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 401.63
Monthly Trendline Resistance 401.58
Weekly Trendline Resistance 400.34
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 400.07
Parabolic System 399.70
20 Day Moving Average 396.54
Weekly Trendline Support 396.07
Monthly Trendline Support 395.45
Daily Stochastic Crossing 395.22
Price 394.12
Lower Bollinger Band 387.77
50 Day Moving Average 385.84
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 400.14
High Date 10/02/2025
Low 392.31
Low Date 10/03/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 400.34
Support 396.07
Low 390.25
Low Date 09/25/2025
High 400.14
High Date 10/02/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 401.58
Support 395.45
Low 357.76
Low Date 08/01/2025
High 404.00
High Date 09/17/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 285.10
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 404.00
High Date 09/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 213.73
Low Date 12/28/2022
High 404.00
High Date 09/17/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.