The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 2/6/2026 -
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Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Stochastic signal line moved below overbought areaWeekly  MACD line has moved below its signal lineBroken trend support line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was the negative week for the Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR). During the week, the VCR dropped -8.82 points, or -2.21%, and closed at 390.37 on Friday, February 6, 2026. Weekly volume was -34% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VCR long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 285.10 and reached 414.28 on January 12, 2026. VCR gained -129.18 points, or -45.31%, in 40 weeks. The price is now at the 18.51% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See VCR medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 362.71 and reached 414.28 on January 12, 2026. VCR gained -51.57 points, or -14.22%, in 7 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (412.44) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. VCR may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VCR weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

During the last week, weekly MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VCR short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on January 12, 2026 at 414.28 and reached 381.54 on February 6, 2026. VCR lost 32.74 points, or 7.90%, in 25 days. The price is now at the 26.97% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VCR daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since January 16, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is up and daily technical indicators are oversold, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a support level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 33.91
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 96.30
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 26.67
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 21.43
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.20
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 47.75
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 61.10
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 72.18
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 53.39
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 8.43
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 423.41
Upper Bollinger Band 412.46
Monthly Trendline Support 412.44
Parabolic System 405.00
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 404.17
20 Day Moving Average 402.76
50 Day Moving Average 399.34
Price 390.37
Daily Stochastic Crossing 387.46
Lower Bollinger Band 386.86
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 408.22
High Date 01/22/2026
Low 381.54
Low Date 02/06/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 414.28
High Date 01/12/2026
Low 381.54
Low Date 02/06/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 423.41
Support 412.44
Low 362.71
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 414.28
High Date 01/12/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 285.10
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 414.28
High Date 01/12/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 213.73
Low Date 12/28/2022
High 414.28
High Date 01/12/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.