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- 7/31/2026 -
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Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Price is near the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level
Daily :20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageStochastic has raised above the signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week for the Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR). During the week, the VCR gained 19.29 points, or 5.19%, and closed at 391.30 on Friday, July 31, 2026. It was the best weekly gain since April 17, 2026. Weekly volume was 11% above average.

Long-term trend: [See VCR long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on December 28, 2022 at 213.73 and reached 414.28 on January 12, 2026. VCR gained -200.55 points, or -93.83%, in 158 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 326.49 and resistance is at 420.50. A Rising Wage is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the upside. It represents the loss of an upside momentum on each successive high and has a bearish bias. The Rising wedge usually marks a reversal in an uptrend. In a downtrend a rising wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Rising Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VCR medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on May 28, 2026 at 405.88 and reached 368.53 on July 23, 2026. VCR lost 37.35 points, or 9.20%, in 8 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 61.8% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VCR weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since July 17, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VCR short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on July 1, 2026 at 402.33 and reached 368.53 on July 23, 2026. VCR lost 33.80 points, or 8.40%, in 22 days. The price is now at the 67.37% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VCR daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since July 16, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49.10
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 31.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 51.30
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 56.21
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.47
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 48.61
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 25.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 48.09
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 57.54
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.68
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 420.50
Upper Bollinger Band 402.56
Price 391.30
50 Day Moving Average 390.61
20 Day Moving Average 388.01
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 383.67
Daily Stochastic Crossing 382.34
Lower Bollinger Band 369.96
Parabolic System 368.16
Yearly Trendline Support 326.49
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 402.33
High Date 07/01/2026
Low 368.53
Low Date 07/23/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 405.88
High Date 05/28/2026
Low 368.53
Low Date 07/23/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 346.48
Low Date 03/30/2026
High 405.88
High Date 05/28/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 414.28
High Date 01/12/2026
Low 346.48
Low Date 03/30/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 420.50
Support 326.49
Low 213.73
Low Date 12/28/2022
High 414.28
High Date 01/12/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.