The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Resistance
Downtrend Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Downtrend Resistance stock alert indicates that price is near long-term resistance trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high.

The strategy is based on selling long (or taking short) position on downtrend testing resistance. The strategy has low to medium risk and average reword.

Downtrend Resistance

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- 12/12/2025 -
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Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtTrend resistance at 398.36
Daily :Relative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic signal line moved below overbought areaLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence
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It was a third positive week after 3 consecutive negative weeks for the Vanguard Consumer Discretionary ETF (VCR). During the week, the VCR climbed 3.93 points, or 0.99%, and closed at 398.95 on Friday, December 12, 2025. Weekly volume was -50% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VCR long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 285.10 and reached 404.00 on September 17, 2025. VCR gained -118.90 points, or -41.70%, in 23 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Medium-term trend: [See VCR medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 17, 2025 at 404.00 and reached 362.71 on November 20, 2025. VCR lost 41.29 points, or 10.22%, in 9 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (398.36). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VCR weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 31, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VCR short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 362.71 and reached 402.10 on December 12, 2025. VCR gained -39.39 points, or -10.86%, in 22 days. The price is now at the 8.00% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VCR daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 25, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 83.79
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 7.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 72.35
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.04
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.08 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 53.30
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 10.10
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 53.74
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 64.46
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 8.71
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 411.90
Price 398.95
Daily Stochastic Crossing 398.62
Monthly Trendline Resistance 398.36
Parabolic System 392.98
50 Day Moving Average 388.81
20 Day Moving Average 385.48
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 384.22
Lower Bollinger Band 368.85
Monthly Trendline Support 355.56
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 388.70
Low Date 12/09/2025
High 402.10
High Date 12/12/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 362.71
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 402.10
High Date 12/12/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 398.36
Support 355.56
High 404.00
High Date 09/17/2025
Low 362.71
Low Date 11/20/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 285.10
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 404.00
High Date 09/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 213.73
Low Date 12/28/2022
High 404.00
High Date 09/17/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.