The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 3/20/2026 -
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Vanguard Financials ETF (VFH) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal lineMACD bullish divergence
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It was a first positive week after 3 consecutive negative weeks for the Vanguard Financials ETF (VFH). During the week, the VFH climbed 0.29 points, or 0.24%, and closed at 119.52 on Friday, March 20, 2026. Weekly volume was 33% above average.

Long-term trend: [See VFH long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 24, 2023 at 73.25 and reached 137.89 on January 5, 2026. VFH gained -64.64 points, or -88.25%, in 145 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 107.48 and resistance is at 140.06. A Rising Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Rising Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Channel pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VFH medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on January 5, 2026 at 137.89 and reached 118.25 on March 19, 2026. VFH lost 19.64 points, or 14.24%, in 10 weeks. The price is now at the 6.47% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VFH weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since January 23, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VFH short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on February 9, 2026 at 133.38 and reached 118.25 on March 19, 2026. VFH lost 15.13 points, or 11.34%, in 38 days. The price is now at the 8.39% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VFH daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Daily MACD has bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since February 10, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 22.67
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 89.80
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 18.23
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 17.02
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.39 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 27.60
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 94.50
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 14.02
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.24
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.67
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 140.06
Upper Bollinger Band 128.69
50 Day Moving Average 127.93
20 Day Moving Average 122.98
Parabolic System 122.30
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 120.18
Price 119.52
Daily Stochastic Crossing 119.02
Lower Bollinger Band 117.10
Quarterly Trendline Support 107.48
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 122.33
High Date 03/17/2026
Low 118.25
Low Date 03/19/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 133.38
High Date 02/09/2026
Low 118.25
Low Date 03/19/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 137.89
High Date 01/05/2026
Low 118.25
Low Date 03/19/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 140.06
Support 107.48
Low 73.25
Low Date 03/24/2023
High 137.89
High Date 01/05/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 72.96
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 137.89
High Date 01/05/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.