The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 5/2/2025 -
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Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Trend support at 572.72
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT). During the week, the VGT gained 20.99 points, or 3.84%, and closed at 567.54 on Friday, May 2, 2025. Weekly volume was -14% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VGT long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 291.61 and reached 648.80 on January 24, 2025. VGT gained -357.19 points, or -122.49%, in 119 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend support (572.72) line. The support is usually stronger when technical indicators are oversold. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend support line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VGT medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on January 24, 2025 at 648.80 and reached 451.00 on April 7, 2025. VGT lost 197.80 points, or 30.49%, in 10 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 390.82 and resistance is at 638.80. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VGT weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since January 10, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VGT short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 451.00 and reached 570.19 on May 2, 2025. VGT gained -119.19 points, or -26.43%, in 25 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VGT daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since April 11, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is down and daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 70.17
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 4.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 94.80
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 86.92
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -5.54
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 38.99
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 42.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 32.44
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 45.10
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -6.23
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 671.92
Monthly Trendline Resistance 638.80
Upper Bollinger Band 591.25
Quarterly Trendline Support 572.72
Price 567.54
Daily Stochastic Crossing 567.41
50 Day Moving Average 549.98
Parabolic System 525.27
20 Day Moving Average 521.24
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 499.15
Lower Bollinger Band 482.99
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 484.86
Low Date 04/21/2025
High 570.19
High Date 05/02/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 451.00
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 570.19
High Date 05/02/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 638.80
Support 390.82
High 648.80
High Date 01/24/2025
Low 451.00
Low Date 04/07/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Test Support
Resistance 671.92
Support 572.72
Low 291.61
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 648.80
High Date 01/24/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 28.85
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 648.80
High Date 01/24/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.