The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 10/31/2025 -
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Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal line
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Information Technology ETF (VGT). During the week, the VGT gained 19.07 points, or 2.46%, and closed at 793.21 on Friday, October 31, 2025. VGT was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See VGT long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 291.61 and reached 806.99 on October 29, 2025. VGT gained -515.38 points, or -176.74%, in 158 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (497.88) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VGT medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 451.00 and reached 806.99 on October 29, 2025. VGT gained -355.99 points, or -78.93%, in 29 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VGT weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VGT short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on October 14, 2025 at 736.50 and reached 806.99 on October 29, 2025. VGT gained -70.49 points, or -9.57%, in 15 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 750.74 and resistance is at 817.25. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VGT daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 68.39
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 9.10
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.86
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.37
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 12.37
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 77.73
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.10
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.79
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 35.18 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 817.25
Upper Bollinger Band 804.20
Daily Stochastic Crossing 797.37
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 794.24
Price 793.21
20 Day Moving Average 766.41
Parabolic System 765.94
Weekly Trendline Support 750.74
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 743.42
50 Day Moving Average 739.53
Lower Bollinger Band 732.31
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 806.99
High Date 10/29/2025
Low 788.57
Low Date 10/31/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 817.25
Support 750.74
Low 736.50
Low Date 10/14/2025
High 806.99
High Date 10/29/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 451.00
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 806.99
High Date 10/29/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 743.42
Support 497.88
Low 291.61
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 806.99
High Date 10/29/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 28.85
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 806.99
High Date 10/29/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.