The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 10/17/2025 -
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Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (VTEB) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
Daily :Relative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index and MACD bearish divergenceA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the priceDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Tax-Exempt Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (VTEB). During the week, the VTEB climbed 0.28 points, or 0.56%, and closed at 50.50 on Friday, October 17, 2025. Weekly volume was -19% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VTEB long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 47.02 and reached 50.50 on October 17, 2025. VTEB gained -3.48 points, or -7.40%, in 27 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Medium-term trend: [See VTEB medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on July 24, 2025 at 48.46 and reached 50.50 on October 17, 2025. VTEB gained -2.04 points, or -4.21%, in 12 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VTEB weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 27, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VTEB short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on October 6, 2025 at 49.93 and reached 50.50 on October 17, 2025. VTEB gained -0.57 points, or -1.14%, in 11 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VTEB daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Daily Relative Strength Index and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (50.18) comes close to the price (50.50). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 81.69
Overbought Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 8.80
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 96.79
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 89.90
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.19 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 81.82
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.40
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 88.65
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 87.55
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.02
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Price 50.50
Daily Stochastic Crossing 50.48
Upper Bollinger Band 50.44
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 50.28
Parabolic System 50.18
20 Day Moving Average 50.14
Lower Bollinger Band 49.81
50 Day Moving Average 49.63
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 49.93
Low Date 10/06/2025
High 50.50
High Date 10/17/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 49.93
Low Date 10/06/2025
High 50.50
High Date 10/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 49.93
Low Date 10/06/2025
High 50.50
High Date 10/17/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 48.46
Low Date 07/24/2025
High 50.50
High Date 10/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 47.02
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 50.50
High Date 10/17/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.