The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 6/27/2025 -
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Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a first positive week for the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI). During the week, the VTI gained 9.88 points, or 3.37%, and closed at 303.31 on Friday, June 27, 2025. Weekly volume was -10% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VTI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 174.84 and reached 304.26 on June 27, 2025. VTI gained -129.42 points, or -74.02%, in 141 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 242.41 and resistance is at 320.30. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VTI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 236.40 and reached 304.26 on June 27, 2025. VTI gained -67.86 points, or -28.71%, in 11 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VTI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VTI short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on June 23, 2025 at 291.97 and reached 304.26 on June 27, 2025. VTI gained -12.29 points, or -4.21%, in 4 days. The price is now at the 7.73% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VTI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 67.21
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 9.10
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 88.37
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.17
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.69
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.97
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 2.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 95.37
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.44
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.12
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 320.30
Daily Stochastic Crossing 303.39
Price 303.31
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 303.12
Upper Bollinger Band 301.91
20 Day Moving Average 295.62
Parabolic System 293.57
Lower Bollinger Band 288.47
50 Day Moving Average 285.22
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 291.97
Low Date 06/23/2025
High 304.26
High Date 06/27/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 291.97
Low Date 06/23/2025
High 304.26
High Date 06/27/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 236.40
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 304.26
High Date 06/27/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 320.30
Support 242.41
Low 174.84
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 304.26
High Date 06/27/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 29.76
Low Date 05/06/2010
High 304.26
High Date 06/27/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.