The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 12/13/2024 -
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Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic bearish divergence
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the price
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It was a fourth consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Growth ETF (VUG). During the week, the VUG climbed 0.44 points, or 0.10%, and closed at 423.70 on Friday, December 13, 2024. VUG was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See VUG long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 203.64 and reached 427.50 on December 11, 2024. VUG gained -223.86 points, or -109.93%, in 112 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 350.64 and resistance is at 435.81. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VUG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on August 5, 2024 at 330.30 and reached 427.50 on December 11, 2024. VUG gained -97.20 points, or -29.43%, in 18 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (411.21) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VUG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Weekly Lane's Stochastic has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since October 11, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VUG short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 15, 2024 at 396.00 and reached 427.50 on December 11, 2024. VUG gained -31.50 points, or -7.95%, in 26 days. The price is now at the 12.06% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VUG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 29, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (421.38) comes close to the price (423.70). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 76.00
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.10
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 84.31
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.08
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 6.51 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 83.40
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 1.60
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.02
Strong Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.96
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 13.72
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 435.81
Upper Bollinger Band 432.37
Daily Stochastic Crossing 425.92
Price 423.70
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 422.44
Parabolic System 421.38
20 Day Moving Average 412.43
Monthly Trendline Support 411.21
Monthly Trendline Resistance 406.99
50 Day Moving Average 400.92
Lower Bollinger Band 395.76
Yearly Trendline Support 350.64
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 396.00
Low Date 11/15/2024
High 427.50
High Date 12/11/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 355.28
Low Date 09/06/2024
High 427.50
High Date 12/11/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 406.99
Support 411.21
Low 330.30
Low Date 08/05/2024
High 427.50
High Date 12/11/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 260.65
Low Date 10/26/2023
High 427.50
High Date 12/11/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 435.81
Support 350.64
Low 203.64
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 427.50
High Date 12/11/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.