The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 8/22/2025 -
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Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF Shares (VYM) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceTrend resistance at 140.03
Daily :Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtLane's Stochastic bearish divergenceThe price touches the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF Shares (VYM). During the week, the VYM gained 2.17 points, or 1.58%, and closed at 139.16 on Friday, August 22, 2025. Weekly volume was -17% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VYM long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on May 6, 2010 at 17.04 and reached 139.65 on August 22, 2025. VYM gained -122.61 points, or -719.54%, in 798 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (112.19) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VYM medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 94.59 and reached 139.65 on August 22, 2025. VYM gained -45.06 points, or -47.64%, in 149 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (140.03). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VYM weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 30, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VYM short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 1, 2025 at 132.01 and reached 139.65 on August 22, 2025. VYM gained -7.64 points, or -5.79%, in 21 days. The price is now at the 6.41% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VYM daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic. Daily Lane's Stochastic has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since August 12, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting stronger.

The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 80.98
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 22.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 84.75
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.00
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.83
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 67.44
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 6.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.80
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.77
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.55 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 140.03
Upper Bollinger Band 139.37
Monthly Trendline Resistance 139.33
Daily Stochastic Crossing 139.23
Price 139.16
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 138.56
Parabolic System 136.58
20 Day Moving Average 136.01
Monthly Trendline Support 135.16
50 Day Moving Average 134.54
Yearly Trendline Resistance 134.34
Lower Bollinger Band 133.28
Quarterly Trendline Support 117.94
Yearly Trendline Support 112.19
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 136.72
Low Date 08/21/2025
High 139.65
High Date 08/22/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 132.01
Low Date 08/01/2025
High 139.65
High Date 08/22/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 139.33
Support 135.16
Low 112.10
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 139.65
High Date 08/22/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 140.03
Support 117.94
Low 94.59
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 139.65
High Date 08/22/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 134.34
Support 112.19
Low 17.04
Low Date 05/06/2010
High 139.65
High Date 08/22/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.