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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 8/14/2026 -
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Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF Shares (VYM) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
Daily :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal line
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Vanguard High Dividend Yield Index Fund ETF Shares (VYM). During the week, the VYM climbed 0.89 points, or 0.54%, and closed at 166.52 on Friday, August 14, 2026. Weekly volume was -42% below average.

Long-term trend: [See VYM long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on May 6, 2010 at 17.04 and reached 167.61 on August 13, 2026. VYM gained -150.57 points, or -883.63%, in 849 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (118.31) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See VYM medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 94.59 and reached 167.61 on August 13, 2026. VYM gained -73.02 points, or -77.20%, in 200 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (127.37) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VYM weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 1, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VYM short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on March 20, 2026 at 144.72 and reached 167.61 on August 13, 2026. VYM gained -22.89 points, or -15.82%, in 146 days. The chart has formed a Ascending Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (160.85) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VYM daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since July 21, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 68.56
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 8.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.35
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.46
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.49
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 78.30
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.10
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 85.55
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.68
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.79
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 172.98
Upper Bollinger Band 168.52
Daily Stochastic Crossing 167.24
Price 166.52
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 166.18
Parabolic System 164.28
20 Day Moving Average 163.66
Weekly Trendline Resistance 161.98
50 Day Moving Average 161.08
Weekly Trendline Support 160.85
Lower Bollinger Band 159.50
Monthly Trendline Support 158.69
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 149.45
Yearly Trendline Resistance 140.46
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Low 157.02
Low Date 06/23/2026
High 167.61
High Date 08/13/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Ascending Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 161.98
Support 160.85
Low 144.72
Low Date 03/20/2026
High 167.61
High Date 08/13/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 172.98
Support 158.69
Low 112.10
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 167.61
High Date 08/13/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 149.45
Support 127.37
Low 94.59
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 167.61
High Date 08/13/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 140.46
Support 118.31
Low 17.04
Low Date 05/06/2010
High 167.61
High Date 08/13/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.