The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 2/20/2026 -
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SPDR Oil & Gas Equipment & Services (XES) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtMACD bearish divergence
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It was a ninth consecutive positive week for the SPDR Oil & Gas Equipment & Services (XES). During the week, the XES gained 2.27 points, or 2.08%, and closed at 111.55 on Friday, February 20, 2026. Weekly volume was 153% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XES long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 12, 2023 at 100.81 and reached 51.19 on April 9, 2025. XES lost 49.62 points, or 49.22%, in 82 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (33.65) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. XES may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XES medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 51.19 and reached 112.21 on February 19, 2026. XES gained -61.02 points, or -119.20%, in 45 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (85.00) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XES weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 6, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XES short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on February 12, 2026 at 104.22 and reached 112.21 on February 19, 2026. XES gained -7.99 points, or -7.67%, in 7 days. The price is now at the 8.26% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XES daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Daily MACD has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since January 2, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 69.99
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 9.60
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.57
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.64
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.92 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 82.95
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.80
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 94.31
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 86.48
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 5.51
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 114.52
Upper Bollinger Band 114.20
Price 111.55
Daily Stochastic Crossing 111.46
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 110.20
Parabolic System 106.34
20 Day Moving Average 103.59
Monthly Trendline Support 103.18
Yearly Trendline Resistance 96.40
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 94.16
Lower Bollinger Band 93.10
50 Day Moving Average 93.09
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 104.22
Low Date 02/12/2026
High 112.21
High Date 02/19/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 104.22
Low Date 02/12/2026
High 112.21
High Date 02/19/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 114.52
Support 103.18
Low 78.98
Low Date 12/16/2025
High 112.21
High Date 02/19/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 94.16
Support 85.00
Low 51.19
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 112.21
High Date 02/19/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 96.40
Support 33.65
High 100.81
High Date 09/12/2023
Low 51.19
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.