The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Broken Resistance

Downtrend Broken Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Downtrend broken resistance stock market alert is a trend trading warning signal. It is a confirmation that long term downtrend reversal is completed and a new uptrend is establiched.

Unlike other alerts, broken resistance is not a buy/sell signal. It is rather warning signal that trend direction has changed. For entry point it is usually better to wait for pull back and retest of resistance line. This point is considered as a second chance to participate in downtrend reversal.

Downtrend Broken Resist.

Archive
- 5/2/2025 -
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SPDR Homebuilders (XHB) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AverageTrend resistance at 96.87
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It was a second positive week after 6 consecutive negative weeks for the SPDR Homebuilders (XHB). During the week, the XHB gained 3.63 points, or 3.88%, and closed at 97.24 on Friday, May 2, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since January 17, 2025. Weekly volume was -32% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XHB long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on June 17, 2022 at 51.23 and reached 126.10 on November 25, 2024. XHB gained -74.87 points, or -146.14%, in 127 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 90.05 and resistance is at 138.31. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XHB medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on November 25, 2024 at 126.10 and reached 84.48 on April 9, 2025. XHB lost 41.62 points, or 33.01%, in 19 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (79.22) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. XHB may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XHB weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 25, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XHB short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 84.48 and reached 97.65 on May 2, 2025. XHB gained -13.17 points, or -15.59%, in 23 days. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (96.87). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XHB daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since April 21, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is down and daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 67.18
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 13.20
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 82.46
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 78.82
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.21
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 28.68
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 68.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 29.64
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 35.11
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -3.78
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 98.78
Price 97.24
Weekly Trendline Resistance 96.87
Daily Stochastic Crossing 96.71
50 Day Moving Average 96.29
Monthly Trendline Resistance 93.76
Weekly Trendline Support 92.27
20 Day Moving Average 92.17
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 90.99
Parabolic System 90.20
Quarterly Trendline Support 90.05
Lower Bollinger Band 89.07
Monthly Trendline Support 79.22
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 96.54
Low Date 05/01/2025
High 97.65
High Date 05/02/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 96.87
Support 92.27
Low 84.48
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 97.65
High Date 05/02/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 93.76
Support 79.22
High 126.10
High Date 11/25/2024
Low 84.48
Low Date 04/09/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 138.31
Support 90.05
Low 51.23
Low Date 06/17/2022
High 126.10
High Date 11/25/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 8.00
Low Date 03/09/2009
High 126.10
High Date 11/25/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.