The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 7/11/2025 -
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Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal line
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB). During the week, the XLB climbed 0.15 points, or 0.16%, and closed at 91.52 on Friday, July 11, 2025. Weekly volume was 28% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLB long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 17.83 and reached 97.87 on October 18, 2024. XLB gained -80.04 points, or -448.91%, in 815 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (73.02) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLB medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on October 18, 2024 at 97.87 and reached 73.12 on April 8, 2025. XLB lost 24.75 points, or 25.29%, in 24 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (63.20) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. XLB may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLB weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 16, 2025. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLB short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on June 23, 2025 at 85.54 and reached 92.86 on July 10, 2025. XLB gained -7.32 points, or -8.56%, in 17 days. The price is now at the 18.31% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLB daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since June 30, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 74.71
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 21.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 85.86
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 79.66
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.06
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 84.44
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 8.00
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.60
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.20
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.80
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 93.38
Daily Stochastic Crossing 92.28
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 91.90
Price 91.52
Parabolic System 89.97
20 Day Moving Average 88.98
Yearly Trendline Resistance 88.75
50 Day Moving Average 87.29
Lower Bollinger Band 85.53
Monthly Trendline Resistance 82.58
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 85.54
Low Date 06/23/2025
High 92.86
High Date 07/10/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 73.12
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 92.86
High Date 07/10/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 82.58
Support 63.20
High 97.87
High Date 10/18/2024
Low 73.12
Low Date 04/08/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 66.85
Low Date 09/27/2022
High 97.87
High Date 10/18/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 88.75
Support 73.02
Low 17.83
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 97.87
High Date 10/18/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.