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Downtrend Resistance
Downtrend Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Downtrend Resistance stock alert indicates that price is near long-term resistance trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high.

The strategy is based on selling long (or taking short) position on downtrend testing resistance. The strategy has low to medium risk and average reword.

Downtrend Resistance

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- 2/14/2025 -
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Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance lineTrend resistance at 89.65
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band20 Day Moving Average has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AverageTrend resistance at 89.75The Bollinger Bands are historically close together
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It was a first positive week for the Materials Select Sector SPDR (XLB). During the week, the XLB gained 1.56 points, or 1.77%, and closed at 89.85 on Friday, February 14, 2025. Weekly volume was 6% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLB long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 17.83 and reached 97.87 on October 18, 2024. XLB gained -80.04 points, or -448.91%, in 815 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (71.68) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLB medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on October 18, 2024 at 97.87 and reached 83.04 on January 3, 2025. XLB lost 14.83 points, or 15.15%, in 11 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (89.65). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLB weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since November 8, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLB short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 3, 2025 at 83.04 and reached 90.87 on February 14, 2025. XLB gained -7.83 points, or -9.43%, in 42 days. The chart has formed a Ascending Triangle chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (89.75). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLB daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since January 7, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The distance between the Bollinger Bands (2.05%) is close to one year low (2.99%). It is 69.42% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a buy signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55.54
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 11.40
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 74.01
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 72.71
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.41
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 41.24
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 50.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 46.00
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 47.96
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.48
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Daily Stochastic Crossing 90.11
Price 89.85
Weekly Trendline Resistance 89.75
Monthly Trendline Resistance 89.65
Upper Bollinger Band 89.62
20 Day Moving Average 89.04
Weekly Trendline Support 88.08
50 Day Moving Average 87.90
Lower Bollinger Band 87.77
Yearly Trendline Resistance 87.41
Parabolic System 87.27
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 87.09
Monthly Trendline Support 75.78
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 87.76
Low Date 02/12/2025
High 90.87
High Date 02/14/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Ascending Triangle
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 89.75
Support 88.08
Low 83.04
Low Date 01/03/2025
High 90.87
High Date 02/14/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 89.65
Support 75.78
High 97.87
High Date 10/18/2024
Low 83.04
Low Date 01/03/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 66.85
Low Date 09/27/2022
High 97.87
High Date 10/18/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 87.41
Support 71.68
Low 17.83
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 97.87
High Date 10/18/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.