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- 8/15/2025 -
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Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support line
Daily :20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageStochastic signal line moved above oversold areaThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week for the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE). During the week, the XLE climbed 0.63 points, or 0.74%, and closed at 85.56 on Friday, August 15, 2025. Weekly volume was -13% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLE long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 18, 2020 at 22.88 and reached 98.97 on April 12, 2024. XLE gained -76.09 points, or -332.56%, in 212 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (117.54) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLE medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on April 12, 2024 at 98.97 and reached 74.49 on April 9, 2025. XLE lost 24.48 points, or 24.73%, in 51 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 69.28 and resistance is at 96.71. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLE weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 13, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLE short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on July 11, 2025 at 89.44 and reached 84.10 on August 11, 2025. XLE lost 5.34 points, or 5.97%, in 31 days. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 83.88 and resistance is at 88.14. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLE daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since July 31, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 34.81
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 69.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 37.22
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 34.26
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.27
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55.38
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 45.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 56.36
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 54.35
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.79
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 96.71
Monthly Trendline Support 92.76
Monthly Trendline Resistance 91.31
Upper Bollinger Band 88.39
Weekly Trendline Resistance 88.14
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 86.94
50 Day Moving Average 86.27
20 Day Moving Average 86.00
Price 85.56
Daily Stochastic Crossing 85.22
Parabolic System 84.02
Weekly Trendline Support 83.88
Lower Bollinger Band 83.18
Quarterly Trendline Support 69.28
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 84.10
Low Date 08/11/2025
High 86.53
High Date 08/15/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 88.14
Support 83.88
High 89.44
High Date 07/11/2025
Low 84.10
Low Date 08/11/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 91.31
Support 92.76
Low 74.49
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 89.44
High Date 07/11/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 96.71
Support 69.28
High 98.97
High Date 04/12/2024
Low 74.49
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 103.02
Support 117.54
Low 22.88
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 98.97
High Date 04/12/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.