The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 12/12/2025 -
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Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is overbought
Daily :Stochastic signal line moved below overbought areaA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the price
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It was the negative week for the Energy Select Sector SPDR (XLE). During the week, the XLE gave back -0.41 points, or -0.89%, and closed at 45.51 on Friday, December 12, 2025. Weekly volume was -19% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLE long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on April 12, 2024 at 49.49 and reached 37.25 on April 9, 2025. XLE lost 12.24 points, or 24.73%, in 51 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 32.18 and resistance is at 48.07. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLE medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 9, 2025 at 37.25 and reached 46.66 on December 5, 2025. XLE gained -9.41 points, or -25.26%, in 34 weeks. The price is now at the 12.22% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLE weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 13, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLE short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on October 16, 2025 at 42.35 and reached 46.66 on December 5, 2025. XLE gained -4.31 points, or -10.18%, in 50 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 44.67 and resistance is at 47.69. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLE daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since December 2, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (45.11) comes close to the price (45.51). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 57.26
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 22.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 57.90
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 64.30
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.34
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 57.56
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 13.30
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 72.58
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 70.18
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.30
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 48.07
Weekly Trendline Resistance 47.69
Upper Bollinger Band 46.51
Daily Stochastic Crossing 46.09
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 45.59
Price 45.51
20 Day Moving Average 45.35
Parabolic System 45.11
Weekly Trendline Support 44.67
50 Day Moving Average 44.55
Lower Bollinger Band 44.19
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 43.90
Low Date 11/24/2025
High 46.66
High Date 12/05/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 47.69
Support 44.67
Low 42.35
Low Date 10/16/2025
High 46.66
High Date 12/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 37.25
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 46.66
High Date 12/05/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 48.07
Support 32.18
High 49.49
High Date 04/12/2024
Low 37.25
Low Date 04/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 11.44
Low Date 03/18/2020
High 49.49
High Date 04/12/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.