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Archive
- 1/16/2026 -
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Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) Technical Analysis
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| Summary:
| | Weekly :  | | Daily :
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| | It was the negative week for the Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF). During the week, the XLF dropped -1.29 points, or -2.31%, and closed at 54.44 on Friday, January 16, 2026. It was the worst weekly loss since October 10, 2025. Weekly volume was 29% above average.
 Long-term trend: [See XLF long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 5.88 and reached 56.52 on January 6, 2026. XLF gained -50.64 points, or -861.22%, in 878 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (34.89) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.
 Medium-term trend: [See XLF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 51.08 and reached 56.52 on January 6, 2026. XLF gained -5.44 points, or -10.65%, in 6 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (54.86) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.
 Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.
The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 19, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.
 Short-term trend: [See XLF short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on January 6, 2026 at 56.52 and reached 53.69 on January 14, 2026. XLF lost 2.83 points, or 5.01%, in 8 days. The price is now at the 26.50% retracement level.
 Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.
The daily MACD line is below its signal line since January 7, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is strong.
During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.
During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.
Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.
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