The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 1/2/2026 -
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Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Stochastic signal line moved below overbought areaDaily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARPrice is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level
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It was the negative week for the Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF). During the week, the XLF dropped -0.69 points, or -1.24%, and closed at 54.93 on Friday, January 2, 2026. It was the worst weekly loss since November 21, 2025. Weekly volume was -35% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLF long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 5.88 and reached 55.89 on December 24, 2025. XLF gained -50.01 points, or -850.51%, in 876 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (34.82) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 51.08 and reached 55.89 on December 24, 2025. XLF gained -4.81 points, or -9.42%, in 4 weeks. The price is now at the 19.96% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 19, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting stronger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLF short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on December 24, 2025 at 55.89 and reached 54.34 on January 2, 2026. XLF lost 1.55 points, or 2.77%, in 9 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 51.04
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 39.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 52.86
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 54.79
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.60
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55.48
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 22.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 83.46
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 71.38
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.71
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 56.00
Parabolic System 55.94
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 55.31
Daily Stochastic Crossing 55.04
Price 54.93
20 Day Moving Average 54.69
50 Day Moving Average 53.39
Lower Bollinger Band 53.18
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 55.89
High Date 12/24/2025
Low 54.34
Low Date 01/02/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 51.08
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 55.89
High Date 12/24/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 30.39
Low Date 03/24/2023
High 55.89
High Date 12/24/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 29.59
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 55.89
High Date 12/24/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 42.05
Support 34.82
Low 5.88
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 55.89
High Date 12/24/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.