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- 3/20/2026 -
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Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance lineLane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal lineMACD bullish divergence
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It was a first positive week after 3 consecutive negative weeks for the Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF). During the week, the XLF climbed 0.19 points, or 0.39%, and closed at 49.08 on Friday, March 20, 2026. Weekly volume was 30% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLF long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 5.88 and reached 56.52 on January 6, 2026. XLF gained -50.64 points, or -861.22%, in 878 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (35.17) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on January 6, 2026 at 56.52 and reached 48.52 on March 19, 2026. XLF lost 8.00 points, or 14.15%, in 10 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 48.02 and resistance is at 50.22. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since January 23, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLF short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on February 9, 2026 at 54.39 and reached 48.52 on March 19, 2026. XLF lost 5.87 points, or 10.79%, in 38 days. The price is now at the 9.54% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Daily MACD has bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since February 10, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 25.22
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 89.50
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 19.84
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 18.53
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.92 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 28.21
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 94.60
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 13.86
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.23
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.20
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 52.54
50 Day Moving Average 52.26
20 Day Moving Average 50.35
Weekly Trendline Resistance 50.22
Parabolic System 50.09
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 49.27
Price 49.08
Daily Stochastic Crossing 48.86
Lower Bollinger Band 48.11
Weekly Trendline Support 48.02
Yearly Trendline Resistance 42.41
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 54.39
High Date 02/09/2026
Low 48.52
Low Date 03/19/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 50.22
Support 48.02
High 56.52
High Date 01/06/2026
Low 48.52
Low Date 03/19/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 30.39
Low Date 03/24/2023
High 56.52
High Date 01/06/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 29.59
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 56.52
High Date 01/06/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 42.41
Support 35.17
Low 5.88
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 56.52
High Date 01/06/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.