The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 2/13/2026 -
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Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance lineWilliams' Percentage Range is oversold
Daily :Daily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARThe price is below the lower Bollinger BandWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldLane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence
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It was the negative week for the Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF). During the week, the XLF dropped -2.61 points, or -4.81%, and closed at 51.65 on Friday, February 13, 2026. Weekly volume was 41% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLF long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 5.88 and reached 56.52 on January 6, 2026. XLF gained -50.64 points, or -861.22%, in 878 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (35.01) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 51.08 and reached 56.52 on January 6, 2026. XLF gained -5.44 points, or -10.65%, in 6 weeks. The price is now at the 89.52% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since January 23, 2026. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLF short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on January 6, 2026 at 56.52 and reached 51.25 on February 13, 2026. XLF lost 5.27 points, or 9.32%, in 38 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 37.17
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 91.60
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 27.37
Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 24.32
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.31 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 45.73
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 91.40
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 39.00
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 32.66
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.72
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 54.82
50 Day Moving Average 54.24
Parabolic System 53.96
20 Day Moving Average 53.35
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 52.93
Lower Bollinger Band 52.01
Daily Stochastic Crossing 51.76
Price 51.65
Yearly Trendline Resistance 42.25
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
High 56.52
High Date 01/06/2026
Low 51.25
Low Date 02/13/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 51.08
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 56.52
High Date 01/06/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 30.39
Low Date 03/24/2023
High 56.52
High Date 01/06/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 29.59
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 56.52
High Date 01/06/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 42.25
Support 35.01
Low 5.88
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 56.52
High Date 01/06/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.