The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 10/24/2025 -
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Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance line
Daily :20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageA Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the priceThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a second positive week after 3 consecutive negative weeks for the Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF). During the week, the XLF gained 0.93 points, or 1.78%, and closed at 53.11 on Friday, October 24, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since August 22, 2025. Weekly volume was -12% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLF long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 5.88 and reached 54.50 on September 18, 2025. XLF gained -48.62 points, or -826.87%, in 862 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (34.51) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 42.21 and reached 54.50 on September 18, 2025. XLF gained -12.29 points, or -29.12%, in 23 weeks. The price is now at the 11.31% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 3, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLF short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on September 18, 2025 at 54.50 and reached 51.54 on October 16, 2025. XLF lost 2.96 points, or 5.43%, in 28 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 22, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (53.36) comes close to the price (53.11). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 45.32
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 51.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 52.03
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 48.65
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.21
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 52.67
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 35.10
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 57.65
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 58.11
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.08
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 54.24
Parabolic System 53.36
50 Day Moving Average 53.34
Price 53.11
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 53.09
20 Day Moving Average 53.08
Daily Stochastic Crossing 52.70
Lower Bollinger Band 51.72
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
High 54.50
High Date 09/18/2025
Low 51.54
Low Date 10/16/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 42.21
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 54.50
High Date 09/18/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 30.39
Low Date 03/24/2023
High 54.50
High Date 09/18/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 29.59
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 54.50
High Date 09/18/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 41.74
Support 34.51
Low 5.88
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 54.50
High Date 09/18/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.