The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 12/19/2025 -
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Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionWilliams' Percentage Range is overboughtLane's Stochastic bearish divergence
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtStochastic signal line moved below overbought areaThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR
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It was the negative week for the Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF). During the week, the XLF gave back -0.11 points, or -0.20%, and closed at 54.84 on Friday, December 19, 2025. Weekly volume was -8% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLF long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 5.88 and reached 55.31 on December 15, 2025. XLF gained -49.43 points, or -840.65%, in 875 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (34.77) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on March 24, 2023 at 30.39 and reached 55.31 on December 15, 2025. XLF gained -24.92 points, or -82.00%, in 142 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Lane's Stochastic has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 3, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLF short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 51.08 and reached 55.31 on December 15, 2025. XLF gained -4.23 points, or -8.28%, in 25 days. The price is now at the 11.11% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 25, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 76.00
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 17.90
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 72.87
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 77.00
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.46
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55.69
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 17.50
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 60.61
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 65.44
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.68
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 55.82
Parabolic System 55.34
Price 54.84
Daily Stochastic Crossing 54.66
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 54.16
20 Day Moving Average 53.66
50 Day Moving Average 52.96
Lower Bollinger Band 51.88
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 54.36
Low Date 12/18/2025
High 55.02
High Date 12/19/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 51.08
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 55.31
High Date 12/15/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 30.39
Low Date 03/24/2023
High 55.31
High Date 12/15/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 29.59
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 55.31
High Date 12/15/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 42.00
Support 34.77
Low 5.88
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 55.31
High Date 12/15/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.