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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

Archive
- 12/13/2024 -
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Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtBroken trend resistance lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Broken trend resistance lineLane's Stochastic is oversoldThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF). During the week, the XLF dropped -0.86 points, or -1.71%, and closed at 49.54 on Friday, December 13, 2024. Weekly volume was -11% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLF long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 5.88 and reached 51.62 on November 27, 2024. XLF gained -45.74 points, or -777.89%, in 820 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (33.09) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 29.59 and reached 51.62 on November 27, 2024. XLF gained -22.03 points, or -74.45%, in 110 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (33.27) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since August 16, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLF short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on October 27, 2023 at 31.35 and reached 51.62 on November 27, 2024. XLF gained -20.27 points, or -64.66%, in 397 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (42.47) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since December 2, 2024.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 29.41
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 79.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 3.92
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 18.01
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.60
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 72.15
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 16.80
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 87.36
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 76.78
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.97
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 51.03
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 50.83
Parabolic System 50.73
20 Day Moving Average 50.28
Price 49.54
Daily Stochastic Crossing 49.49
Lower Bollinger Band 48.65
50 Day Moving Average 48.50
Weekly Trendline Resistance 45.48
Weekly Trendline Support 42.47
Yearly Trendline Resistance 40.32
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 39.53
Low Date 04/16/2024
High 51.62
High Date 11/27/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 45.48
Support 42.47
Low 31.35
Low Date 10/27/2023
High 51.62
High Date 11/27/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 30.39
Low Date 03/24/2023
High 51.62
High Date 11/27/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 31.39
Support 33.27
Low 29.59
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 51.62
High Date 11/27/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 40.32
Support 33.09
Low 5.88
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 51.62
High Date 11/27/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.