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Select Sector SPDR ETFs Technical Analysis - XLF

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- 3/14/2025 -
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Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldPrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement levelThe Bollinger Bands are historically far apart
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It was the negative week for the Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF). During the week, the XLF dropped -0.60 points, or -1.22%, and closed at 48.52 on Friday, March 14, 2025. Weekly volume was 54% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLF long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 5.88 and reached 52.64 on March 3, 2025. XLF gained -46.76 points, or -795.24%, in 834 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (33.48) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 29.59 and reached 52.64 on March 3, 2025. XLF gained -23.05 points, or -77.90%, in 124 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (33.68) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since February 21, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLF short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 3, 2025 at 52.64 and reached 47.22 on March 12, 2025. XLF lost 5.42 points, or 10.30%, in 9 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since February 11, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is strong.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands (13.03%) is close to one year high (11.63%). It is 107.15% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a sell signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 33.38
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 88.00
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 12.23
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 19.20
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.44
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 43.07
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 72.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 64.53
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 46.79
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.82
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 52.81
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 50.42
50 Day Moving Average 50.21
20 Day Moving Average 50.18
Parabolic System 49.40
Price 48.52
Daily Stochastic Crossing 47.63
Lower Bollinger Band 46.49
Yearly Trendline Resistance 40.72
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 52.64
High Date 03/03/2025
Low 47.22
Low Date 03/12/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 31.35
Low Date 10/27/2023
High 52.64
High Date 03/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 30.39
Low Date 03/24/2023
High 52.64
High Date 03/03/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 30.65
Support 33.68
Low 29.59
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 52.64
High Date 03/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 40.72
Support 33.48
Low 5.88
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 52.64
High Date 03/03/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.