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Select Sector SPDR ETFs Technical Analysis - XLF

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- 10/3/2025 -
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Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :A Parabolic SAR indicator is below and near the priceThe price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsThe Bollinger Bands are historically close together
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It was the negative week for the Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF). During the week, the XLF gave back -0.14 points, or -0.26%, and closed at 53.72 on Friday, October 3, 2025. Weekly volume was -28% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLF long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 5.88 and reached 54.50 on September 18, 2025. XLF gained -48.62 points, or -826.87%, in 862 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (34.41) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 42.21 and reached 54.50 on September 18, 2025. XLF gained -12.29 points, or -29.12%, in 23 weeks. The price is now at the 6.35% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 30, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLF short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 1, 2025 at 51.05 and reached 54.50 on September 18, 2025. XLF gained -3.45 points, or -6.76%, in 48 days. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 22, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (54.06) comes close to the price (53.72). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The distance between the Bollinger Bands (2.46%) is close to one year low (2.58%). It is 66.17% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a buy signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50.59
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 64.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 39.84
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 41.89
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.19
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 58.23
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 21.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 80.29
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 70.36
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.14
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 54.29
Parabolic System 54.06
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 53.88
20 Day Moving Average 53.72
Price 53.72
Daily Stochastic Crossing 53.44
50 Day Moving Average 53.17
Lower Bollinger Band 52.98
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Low 51.05
Low Date 08/01/2025
High 54.50
High Date 09/18/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 42.21
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 54.50
High Date 09/18/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 30.39
Low Date 03/24/2023
High 54.50
High Date 09/18/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 29.59
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 54.50
High Date 09/18/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 41.64
Support 34.41
Low 5.88
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 54.50
High Date 09/18/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.