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Select Sector SPDR ETFs Technical Analysis - XLFArchive
- 8/1/2025 -
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Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF) Technical Analysis
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| Summary:
| | Weekly :   | | Daily :
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| | It was the negative week for the Financial Select Sector SPDR (XLF). During the week, the XLF dropped -2.04 points, or -3.82%, and closed at 51.40 on Friday, August 1, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since April 4, 2025. XLF was trading at average weekly trading volume.
 Long-term trend: [See XLF long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 5.88 and reached 53.49 on July 25, 2025. XLF gained -47.61 points, or -809.69%, in 855 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (34.12) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.
 Medium-term trend: [See XLF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 42.21 and reached 53.49 on July 25, 2025. XLF gained -11.28 points, or -26.72%, in 15 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend support (51.60) line. The support is usually stronger when technical indicators are oversold. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend support line in a medium-term trend.
 Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.
The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 30, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.
 Short-term trend: [See XLF short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on May 23, 2025 at 49.57 and reached 53.49 on July 25, 2025. XLF gained -3.92 points, or -7.91%, in 63 days. The price is now at the 53.32% retracement level.
 Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.
During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.
During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.
The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 3.74% on Friday. It is 52.11% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.
During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.
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