The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 10/10/2025 -
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Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is overboughtRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic bearish divergenceBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Broken trend support lineStochastic signal line moved below overbought areaDaily  MACD line has moved below its signal lineThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SARThe price is below the lower Bollinger BandPrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was the negative week for the Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI). During the week, the XLI dropped -4.51 points, or -2.92%, and closed at 149.90 on Friday, October 10, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since August 1, 2025. Weekly volume was 29% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 15.14 and reached 155.94 on October 9, 2025. XLI gained -140.80 points, or -929.99%, in 865 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (99.34) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on September 30, 2022 at 82.75 and reached 155.94 on October 9, 2025. XLI gained -73.19 points, or -88.45%, in 157 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 119.08 and resistance is at 164.49. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since September 19, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLI short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on August 1, 2025 at 148.13 and reached 155.94 on October 9, 2025. XLI gained -7.81 points, or -5.27%, in 69 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (150.62) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 39.34
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 37.00
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 56.12
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 52.81
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.61
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 50.91
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 13.70
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 64.39
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 66.31
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.36
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 164.49
Monthly Trendline Resistance 160.85
Parabolic System 156.10
Weekly Trendline Resistance 156.02
Upper Bollinger Band 155.73
Monthly Trendline Support 154.58
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 153.79
20 Day Moving Average 153.05
Daily Stochastic Crossing 152.72
50 Day Moving Average 152.05
Weekly Trendline Support 150.62
Lower Bollinger Band 150.27
Price 149.90
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 155.94
High Date 10/09/2025
Low 149.89
Low Date 10/10/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 156.02
Support 150.62
Low 148.13
Low Date 08/01/2025
High 155.94
High Date 10/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 160.85
Support 154.58
Low 112.80
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 155.94
High Date 10/09/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 164.49
Support 119.08
Low 82.75
Low Date 09/30/2022
High 155.94
High Date 10/09/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 114.00
Support 99.34
Low 15.14
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 155.94
High Date 10/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.