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- 8/15/2025 -
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Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :The price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe period of low volatility of the stock price
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It was the negative week for the Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI). During the week, the XLI gave back -0.39 points, or -0.26%, and closed at 150.44 on Friday, August 15, 2025. Weekly volume was 10% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 15.14 and reached 155.15 on July 28, 2025. XLI gained -140.01 points, or -924.77%, in 855 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (98.54) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on September 30, 2022 at 82.75 and reached 155.15 on July 28, 2025. XLI gained -72.40 points, or -87.49%, in 147 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 117.22 and resistance is at 160.82. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 9, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLI short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on July 28, 2025 at 155.15 and reached 148.13 on August 1, 2025. XLI lost 7.02 points, or 4.52%, in 4 days. The price is now at the 32.91% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since July 29, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 3.78% on Friday. It is 51.11% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 32.47
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 59.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 58.29
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 43.79
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.92
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 69.56
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 9.80
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 81.72
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 76.26
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.82
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 160.82
Monthly Trendline Resistance 157.23
Upper Bollinger Band 153.84
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 152.18
20 Day Moving Average 151.78
Daily Stochastic Crossing 151.50
Monthly Trendline Support 150.56
Price 150.44
50 Day Moving Average 148.72
Parabolic System 148.16
Lower Bollinger Band 148.15
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Low 148.13
Low Date 08/01/2025
High 152.57
High Date 08/13/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 155.15
High Date 07/28/2025
Low 148.13
Low Date 08/01/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Test Support
Resistance 157.23
Support 150.56
Low 112.80
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 155.15
High Date 07/28/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 160.82
Support 117.22
Low 82.75
Low Date 09/30/2022
High 155.15
High Date 07/28/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 113.19
Support 98.54
Low 15.14
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 155.15
High Date 07/28/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.