The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 6/13/2025 -
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Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Broken trend support lineStochastic has declined below the signal lineA Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the priceThe period of low volatility of the stock price
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It was the negative week for the Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI). During the week, the XLI dropped -2.28 points, or -1.57%, and closed at 142.65 on Friday, June 13, 2025. Weekly volume was 54% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 15.14 and reached 145.56 on June 6, 2025. XLI gained -130.42 points, or -861.43%, in 848 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (97.65) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on September 30, 2022 at 82.75 and reached 145.56 on June 6, 2025. XLI gained -62.81 points, or -75.90%, in 140 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 115.18 and resistance is at 156.77. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 9, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLI short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on May 23, 2025 at 139.63 and reached 145.56 on June 6, 2025. XLI gained -5.93 points, or -4.25%, in 14 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (143.23) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since May 28, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (142.05) comes close to the price (142.65). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is falling, and it was 3.11% on Friday. It is 59.59% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 60.71
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 45.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 60.67
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 58.50
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.54
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 57.62
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 8.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 95.55
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 80.80
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.73
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 156.77
Monthly Trendline Support 151.06
Weekly Trendline Resistance 146.92
Monthly Trendline Resistance 145.76
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 144.38
Upper Bollinger Band 144.36
Daily Stochastic Crossing 144.05
20 Day Moving Average 143.26
Weekly Trendline Support 143.23
Price 142.65
Parabolic System 142.05
Lower Bollinger Band 139.91
50 Day Moving Average 135.00
Quarterly Trendline Support 115.18
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 145.56
High Date 06/06/2025
Low 142.22
Low Date 06/13/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 146.92
Support 143.23
Low 139.63
Low Date 05/23/2025
High 145.56
High Date 06/06/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 145.76
Support 151.06
Low 112.80
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 145.56
High Date 06/06/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 156.77
Support 115.18
Low 82.75
Low Date 09/30/2022
High 145.56
High Date 06/06/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 112.30
Support 97.65
Low 15.14
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 145.56
High Date 06/06/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.