The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Broken Resistance

Downtrend Broken Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Downtrend broken resistance stock market alert is a trend trading warning signal. It is a confirmation that long term downtrend reversal is completed and a new uptrend is establiched.

Unlike other alerts, broken resistance is not a buy/sell signal. It is rather warning signal that trend direction has changed. For entry point it is usually better to wait for pull back and retest of resistance line. This point is considered as a second chance to participate in downtrend reversal.

Downtrend Broken Resist.

Archive
- 5/2/2025 -
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Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AverageThe period of high volatility of the stock price
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI). During the week, the XLI gained 5.58 points, or 4.33%, and closed at 134.58 on Friday, May 2, 2025. Weekly volume was -20% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 15.14 and reached 144.51 on November 27, 2024. XLI gained -129.37 points, or -854.49%, in 820 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (97.05) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on November 27, 2024 at 144.51 and reached 112.80 on April 7, 2025. XLI lost 31.71 points, or 21.94%, in 18 weeks. The price is now at the 68.68% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since December 13, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLI short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 112.80 and reached 135.11 on May 2, 2025. XLI gained -22.31 points, or -19.78%, in 25 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since April 14, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

The distance between the Bollinger Bands is 104.00% higher then one year average. It indicates the period of high volatility of the stock price. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. While the medium-term trend is down and daily technical indicators are overbought, the 50 Day Moving Average is considered a resistance level. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 73.05
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 94.40
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 87.33
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.55
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 42.80
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 27.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 44.91
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 55.35
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.10
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 138.17
Daily Stochastic Crossing 134.68
Price 134.58
50 Day Moving Average 129.99
Parabolic System 126.67
20 Day Moving Average 126.00
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 124.22
Lower Bollinger Band 119.32
Yearly Trendline Resistance 111.71
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 112.80
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 135.11
High Date 05/02/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 141.90
High Date 01/23/2025
Low 112.80
Low Date 04/07/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 144.51
High Date 11/27/2024
Low 112.80
Low Date 04/07/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 82.75
Low Date 09/30/2022
High 144.51
High Date 11/27/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 111.71
Support 97.05
Low 15.14
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 144.51
High Date 11/27/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.