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Uptrend ExhaustionArchive
- 7/18/2025 -
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Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI) Technical Analysis
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| Summary:
| | Weekly : | | Daily :
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| | It was a fourth consecutive positive week for the Industrial Select Sector SPDR (XLI). During the week, the XLI climbed 1.26 points, or 0.84%, and closed at 151.46 on Friday, July 18, 2025. Weekly volume was 16% above average.
 Long-term trend: [See XLI long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 6, 2009 at 15.14 and reached 152.48 on July 18, 2025. XLI gained -137.34 points, or -907.13%, in 854 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (98.13) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.
 Medium-term trend: [See XLI medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on September 30, 2022 at 82.75 and reached 152.48 on July 18, 2025. XLI gained -69.73 points, or -84.27%, in 146 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 116.27 and resistance is at 158.94. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.
 Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLI weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Weekly Lane's Stochastic has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.
The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 9, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.
 Short-term trend: [See XLI short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on June 23, 2025 at 141.28 and reached 152.48 on July 18, 2025. XLI gained -11.20 points, or -7.93%, in 25 days. The price is now at the 9.11% retracement level.
 Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLI daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence.
The daily MACD line is above its signal line since June 27, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.
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