The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 10/31/2025 -
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Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineLane's Stochastic bearish divergence
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK). During the week, the XLK gained 7.10 points, or 2.42%, and closed at 300.68 on Friday, October 31, 2025. Weekly volume was 43% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLK long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 112.97 and reached 305.99 on October 29, 2025. XLK gained -193.02 points, or -170.86%, in 158 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Medium-term trend: [See XLK medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 172.50 and reached 305.99 on October 29, 2025. XLK gained -133.49 points, or -77.39%, in 29 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLK weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Weekly Lane's Stochastic has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 9, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLK short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on October 14, 2025 at 278.24 and reached 305.99 on October 29, 2025. XLK gained -27.75 points, or -9.97%, in 15 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLK daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since October 23, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 71.54
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 9.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 88.10
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.46
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 5.02
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 78.30
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.80
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.75
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.08
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 12.93
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 305.27
Daily Stochastic Crossing 302.49
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 301.13
Price 300.68
20 Day Moving Average 290.20
Parabolic System 290.03
50 Day Moving Average 279.23
Lower Bollinger Band 276.59
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Low 278.24
Low Date 10/14/2025
High 305.99
High Date 10/29/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 255.84
Low Date 08/20/2025
High 305.99
High Date 10/29/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 172.50
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 305.99
High Date 10/29/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 112.97
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 305.99
High Date 10/29/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 12.94
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 305.99
High Date 10/29/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.