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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 5/29/2026 -
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Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Relative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtRelative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a ninth positive week after 5 consecutive negative weeks for the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK). During the week, the XLK gained 10.63 points, or 5.89%, and closed at 191.02 on Friday, May 29, 2026. Weekly volume was -20% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLK long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 86.23 and reached 191.63 on May 29, 2026. XLK gained -105.40 points, or -122.23%, in 59 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Medium-term trend: [See XLK medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on March 30, 2026 at 126.68 and reached 191.63 on May 29, 2026. XLK gained -64.95 points, or -51.27%, in 8 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 187.40 and resistance is at 196.04. A Rising Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Rising Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Channel pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLK weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since April 17, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLK short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on May 19, 2026 at 170.83 and reached 191.63 on May 29, 2026. XLK gained -20.80 points, or -12.18%, in 10 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLK daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Relative Strength Index, Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 72.27
Bearish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 7.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 92.57
Strong Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.85
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 7.59 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 84.79
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.50
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 96.50
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 87.88
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 4.92
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 196.04
Price 191.02
Upper Bollinger Band 190.49
Daily Stochastic Crossing 190.34
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 189.49
Monthly Trendline Support 187.40
Parabolic System 181.05
20 Day Moving Average 176.08
Lower Bollinger Band 160.42
50 Day Moving Average 157.40
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 170.83
Low Date 05/19/2026
High 191.63
High Date 05/29/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 170.83
Low Date 05/19/2026
High 191.63
High Date 05/29/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 196.04
Support 187.40
Low 126.68
Low Date 03/30/2026
High 191.63
High Date 05/29/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 86.23
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 191.63
High Date 05/29/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 56.49
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 191.63
High Date 05/29/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.