The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Resistance
Downtrend Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Downtrend Resistance stock alert indicates that price is near long-term resistance trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high.

The strategy is based on selling long (or taking short) position on downtrend testing resistance. The strategy has low to medium risk and average reword.

Downtrend Resistance

Archive
- 6/20/2025 -
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Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought
Daily :Broken trend support lineWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic signal line moved below overbought areaThe price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR
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It was a fourth consecutive positive week for the Technology Select Sector SPDR (XLK). During the week, the XLK climbed 1.37 points, or 0.57%, and closed at 240.54 on Friday, June 20, 2025. Weekly volume was 15% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLK long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 112.97 and reached 243.76 on June 16, 2025. XLK gained -130.79 points, or -115.77%, in 139 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Medium-term trend: [See XLK medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 172.50 and reached 243.76 on June 16, 2025. XLK gained -71.26 points, or -41.31%, in 10 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLK weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 9, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLK short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on May 23, 2025 at 225.10 and reached 243.76 on June 16, 2025. XLK gained -18.66 points, or -8.29%, in 24 days. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (242.06) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLK daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since June 12, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 69.73
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 6.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 65.96
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 76.26
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 5.50
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 61.38
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 1.80
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 95.55
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.14
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.08
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 245.80
Weekly Trendline Resistance 244.70
Parabolic System 244.00
Weekly Trendline Support 242.06
Daily Stochastic Crossing 241.97
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 241.73
Price 240.54
20 Day Moving Average 236.59
Lower Bollinger Band 226.66
50 Day Moving Average 222.14
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 243.76
High Date 06/16/2025
Low 239.41
Low Date 06/20/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 244.70
Support 242.06
Low 225.10
Low Date 05/23/2025
High 243.76
High Date 06/16/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 172.50
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 243.76
High Date 06/16/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 112.97
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 243.76
High Date 06/16/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 12.94
Low Date 11/21/2008
High 243.76
High Date 06/16/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.