The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 10/3/2025 -
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Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a first positive week for the Health Care Select Sector SPDR (XLV). During the week, the XLV gained 9.32 points, or 6.88%, and closed at 144.82 on Friday, October 3, 2025. Weekly volume was 59% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLV long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 4, 2024 at 159.64 and reached 127.35 on May 15, 2025. XLV lost 32.29 points, or 20.23%, in 36 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (119.63) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. XLV may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See XLV medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on May 15, 2025 at 127.35 and reached 146.14 on October 3, 2025. XLV gained -18.79 points, or -14.75%, in 20 weeks. The price is now at the 7.03% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLV weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since July 3, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLV short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on September 25, 2025 at 133.73 and reached 146.14 on October 3, 2025. XLV gained -12.41 points, or -9.28%, in 8 days. The price is now at the 10.64% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLV daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 75.05
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 20.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 84.68
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 79.69
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.71
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 64.50
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 13.60
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 81.64
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 74.76
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.60
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Daily Stochastic Crossing 145.38
Price 144.82
Upper Bollinger Band 143.87
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 142.86
20 Day Moving Average 138.18
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 137.76
50 Day Moving Average 136.10
Parabolic System 135.09
Lower Bollinger Band 133.18
Quarterly Trendline Support 119.63
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 133.73
Low Date 09/25/2025
High 146.14
High Date 10/03/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 127.96
Low Date 08/07/2025
High 146.14
High Date 10/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 127.35
Low Date 05/15/2025
High 146.14
High Date 10/03/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 137.76
Support 119.63
High 159.64
High Date 09/04/2024
Low 127.35
Low Date 05/15/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 21.63
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 159.64
High Date 09/04/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.