The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 10/17/2025 -
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Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Stochastic signal line moved below overbought area
Daily :Price is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement levelPrice is close to the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was a first positive week after 3 consecutive negative weeks for the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY). During the week, the XLY gained 5.67 points, or 2.48%, and closed at 234.42 on Friday, October 17, 2025. It was the best weekly gain since August 8, 2025. Weekly volume was 33% above average.

Long-term trend: [See XLY long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on December 28, 2022 at 126.00 and reached 243.40 on September 17, 2025. XLY gained -117.40 points, or -93.17%, in 142 weeks. The price is now at the 7.65% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See XLY medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 173.10 and reached 243.40 on September 17, 2025. XLY gained -70.30 points, or -40.61%, in 23 weeks. The price is now at the 12.77% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLY weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 23, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLY short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on September 17, 2025 at 243.40 and reached 228.68 on October 10, 2025. XLY lost 14.72 points, or 6.05%, in 23 days. Price is near the Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLY daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 22, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

Price is close to the 50 Day Moving Average. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 39.67
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 74.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 42.62
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 36.04
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.20
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 61.09
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 31.10
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 75.44
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 66.53
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 6.61
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 242.02
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 238.64
Parabolic System 237.28
20 Day Moving Average 236.91
50 Day Moving Average 234.65
Price 234.42
Daily Stochastic Crossing 232.40
Lower Bollinger Band 229.31
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 242.70
High Date 10/02/2025
Low 228.68
Low Date 10/10/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 243.40
High Date 09/17/2025
Low 228.68
Low Date 10/10/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 173.10
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 243.40
High Date 09/17/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 126.00
Low Date 12/28/2022
High 243.40
High Date 09/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 15.85
Low Date 03/06/2009
High 243.40
High Date 09/17/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.