The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 12/12/2025 -
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Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtTrend resistance at 121.32
Daily :Relative Strength Index is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtStochastic signal line moved below overbought areaLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceBearish Deliberation Candlestick
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It was a third positive week after 3 consecutive negative weeks for the Consumer Discretionary Select Sector SPDR (XLY). During the week, the XLY climbed 0.97 points, or 0.81%, and closed at 120.70 on Friday, December 12, 2025. Weekly volume was -30% below average.

Long-term trend: [See XLY long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 86.55 and reached 121.70 on September 17, 2025. XLY gained -35.15 points, or -40.61%, in 23 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Medium-term trend: [See XLY medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 17, 2025 at 121.70 and reached 110.47 on November 20, 2025. XLY lost 11.23 points, or 9.23%, in 9 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (121.32). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See XLY weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since November 7, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See XLY short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 20, 2025 at 110.47 and reached 121.36 on December 12, 2025. XLY gained -10.89 points, or -9.86%, in 22 days. The price is now at the 6.06% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See XLY daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved below overbought area. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 25, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

Candlestick pattern: [See XLY candlestick chart pattern]
On Friday the chart has formed a Bearish Deliberation Candlestick pattern. This pattern occurs in an uptrend;it appears after a sustained upward move and suggests that the rally is losing strength and a reversal is possible. The reliability of the Bearish Deliberation pattern is medium. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks that had a Bearish Deliberation Candlestick pattern during the last week.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 81.90
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 7.80
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 72.43
Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.18
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.26 Bearish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 55.20
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 8.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 53.70
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 65.24
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.92
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 124.10
Monthly Trendline Resistance 121.32
Price 120.70
Daily Stochastic Crossing 120.32
Parabolic System 117.81
50 Day Moving Average 117.80
20 Day Moving Average 116.79
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 116.34
Lower Bollinger Band 112.22
Monthly Trendline Support 108.46
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 117.33
Low Date 12/09/2025
High 121.36
High Date 12/12/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 110.47
Low Date 11/20/2025
High 121.36
High Date 12/12/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Right-Angled, Descending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 121.32
Support 108.46
High 121.70
High Date 09/17/2025
Low 110.47
Low Date 11/20/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 86.55
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 121.70
High Date 09/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 63.00
Low Date 12/28/2022
High 121.70
High Date 09/17/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.