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Downtrend ExhaustionArchive
- 6/20/2025 -
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Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (BSV) Technical Analysis
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| Summary:
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| | It was a second consecutive positive week for the Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (BSV). During the week, the BSV climbed 0.16 points, or 0.20%, and closed at 78.27 on Friday, June 20, 2025. Weekly volume was -22% below average.
 Long-term trend: [See BSV long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on January 13, 2025 at 76.93 and reached 78.78 on April 4, 2025. BSV gained -1.85 points, or -2.40%, in 11 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The trend support level is at 78.05 and resistance is at 78.41. A Symmetric Triangle pattern represents the area of indecision, where the movement direction is questioned. Chart pattern analysis usually considers a symmetric triangle chart pattern as a continuation formation which resolves in the direction of larger trend, but it also may mark the trend reversal. Use the following link to access a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Symmetric Triangle pattern in a long-term trend.
 Medium-term trend: [See BSV medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on May 30, 2025 at 78.48 and reached 77.86 on June 6, 2025. BSV lost 0.62 points, or 0.79%, in 1 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (77.53) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.
 Weekly Technical Indicators: [See BSV weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.
The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since May 30, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.
 Short-term trend: [See BSV short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on June 6, 2025 at 77.86 and reached 78.31 on June 18, 2025. BSV gained -0.45 points, or -0.58%, in 12 days. The price is now at the 8.89% retracement level.
Daily Technical Indicators: [See BSV daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.
The daily MACD line is above its signal line since June 12, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.
During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.
The price touches the upper Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.
During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.
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