The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
Sign In May 13, 2022
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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.
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Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (BSV)

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support line - Downtrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic bullish divergenceBroken trend support line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range is oversoldThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARThe price touches the lower Bollinger Band
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It was the negative week for the Vanguard Short-Term Bond Index Fund ETF Shares (BSV). During the week, the BSV gave back -0.18 points, or -0.23%, and closed at 76.85 on Friday, May 6, 2022. Weekly volume was 86% above average.

Long-term trend: [See BSV long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on November 9, 2018 at 75.74 and reached 83.30 on July 31, 2020. BSV gained -7.56 points, or -9.98%, in 90 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend support line (81.85) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. BSV may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See BSV medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on July 31, 2020 at 83.30 and reached 76.67 on May 6, 2022. BSV lost 6.63 points, or 7.96%, in 92 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend support line (80.26) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are oversold. Downtrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See BSV weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly strongly oversold Relative Strength Index, Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since September 17, 2021. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See BSV short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 1, 2022 at 79.86 and reached 76.67 on May 6, 2022. BSV lost 3.19 points, or 3.99%, in 66 days. The price is now at the 5.64% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See BSV daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since April 8, 2022.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price touches the lower Bollinger Band. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 37.56
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 100.00
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 23.05
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 20.20
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.30
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 8.42
Strong Oversold Bullish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 100.00
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 7.01
Strong Oversold Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 13.65
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.92
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Resistance 85.50
Yearly Trendline Support 81.85
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 81.53
Quarterly Trendline Support 80.26
50 Day Moving Average 77.93
Upper Bollinger Band 77.69
20 Day Moving Average 77.18
Daily Stochastic Crossing 76.89
Price 76.85
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 76.84
Parabolic System 76.78
Lower Bollinger Band 76.78
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 79.86
High Date 03/01/2022
Low 76.67
Low Date 05/06/2022
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 82.45
High Date 08/04/2021
Low 76.67
Low Date 05/06/2022
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 82.44
High Date 06/11/2021
Low 76.67
Low Date 05/06/2022
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 81.53
Support 80.26
High 83.30
High Date 07/31/2020
Low 76.67
Low Date 05/06/2022
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 85.50
Support 81.85
Low 75.74
Low Date 11/09/2018
High 83.30
High Date 07/31/2020
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.

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