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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 4/19/2024 -
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Microchip Technology (MCHP) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Weekly  MACD line has moved below its signal line
Daily :The price is below the lower Bollinger BandLane's Stochastic is oversold
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It was the negative week for the Microchip Technology (MCHP). During the week, the MCHP dropped -3.96 points, or -4.62%, and closed at 81.68 on Friday, April 19, 2024. It was the worst weekly loss since January 5, 2024. MCHP was trading at average weekly trading volume.

Long-term trend: [See MCHP long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on July 5, 2022 at 54.33 and reached 94.30 on July 31, 2023. MCHP gained -39.97 points, or -73.57%, in 55 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 73.72 and resistance is at 110.23. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See MCHP medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on March 7, 2024 at 94.19 and reached 80.90 on April 19, 2024. MCHP lost 13.29 points, or 14.11%, in 6 weeks. The price is now at the 5.87% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See MCHP weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

During the last week, weekly MACD line has moved below its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See MCHP short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on April 9, 2024 at 91.82 and reached 80.90 on April 19, 2024. MCHP lost 10.92 points, or 11.89%, in 10 days. The price is now at the 7.14% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See MCHP daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since April 9, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 31.81
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 72.60
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 8.06
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 22.42
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.15
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 44.15
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 72.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 53.12
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 41.80
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.57
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 91.16
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 87.79
Parabolic System 87.60
20 Day Moving Average 87.35
50 Day Moving Average 86.47
Lower Bollinger Band 82.22
Price 81.68
Daily Stochastic Crossing 81.57
Quarterly Trendline Support 73.72
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 5
Industry Semiconductors 52
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 91.82
High Date 04/09/2024
Low 80.90
Low Date 04/19/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 91.82
High Date 04/09/2024
Low 80.90
Low Date 04/19/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 94.19
High Date 03/07/2024
Low 80.90
Low Date 04/19/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 110.23
Support 73.72
Low 54.33
Low Date 07/05/2022
High 94.30
High Date 07/31/2023
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 166.67
High Date 02/17/2021
Low 54.33
Low Date 07/05/2022
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.