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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 4/26/2024 -
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Pulte Homes, Inc. (PHM) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance lineTrend resistance at 112.57
Daily :Broken trend resistance lineStochastic signal line moved above oversold areaDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was a first positive week after 3 consecutive negative weeks for the Pulte Homes, Inc. (PHM). During the week, the PHM gained 8.37 points, or 7.94%, and closed at 113.80 on Friday, April 26, 2024. Weekly volume was 6% above average.

Long-term trend: [See PHM long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 4, 2011 at 3.29 and reached 121.08 on April 1, 2024. PHM gained -117.79 points, or -3580.24%, in 651 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (40.71) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See PHM medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on June 17, 2022 at 35.03 and reached 121.08 on April 1, 2024. PHM gained -86.05 points, or -245.65%, in 93 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (112.57). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See PHM weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since April 12, 2024. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See PHM short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on April 1, 2024 at 121.08 and reached 104.60 on April 19, 2024. PHM lost 16.48 points, or 13.61%, in 18 days. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (101.62) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See PHM daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has moved above the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 47.44
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 53.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 74.75
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 56.30
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.55
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 57.35
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 28.10
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 61.32
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 62.68
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 8.25
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Monthly Trendline Resistance 125.75
Monthly Trendline Support 121.34
Upper Bollinger Band 118.63
Price 113.80
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 113.33
Daily Stochastic Crossing 112.92
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 112.57
20 Day Moving Average 111.55
50 Day Moving Average 110.97
Parabolic System 105.85
Lower Bollinger Band 103.64
Weekly Trendline Support 101.62
Weekly Trendline Resistance 99.99
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 4
Industry Homebuilding 75
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 104.60
Low Date 04/19/2024
High 114.71
High Date 04/26/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 99.99
Support 101.62
High 121.08
High Date 04/01/2024
Low 104.60
Low Date 04/19/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Status Broken Support
Resistance 125.75
Support 121.34
Low 68.80
Low Date 10/24/2023
High 121.08
High Date 04/01/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 112.57
Support 81.10
Low 35.03
Low Date 06/17/2022
High 121.08
High Date 04/01/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 71.89
Support 40.71
Low 3.29
Low Date 10/04/2011
High 121.08
High Date 04/01/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.