The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 4/19/2024 -
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Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Lane's Stochastic is strongly overboughtBroken trend support line
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is oversold
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It was the negative week for the Vanguard Energy ETF (VDE). During the week, the VDE dropped -1.77 points, or -1.32%, and closed at 132.25 on Friday, April 19, 2024. Weekly volume was 6% above average.

Long-term trend: [See VDE long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on September 14, 2023 at 131.07 and reached 110.51 on January 18, 2024. VDE lost 20.56 points, or 15.69%, in 18 weeks. The price is now at the 105.74% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See VDE medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on January 18, 2024 at 110.51 and reached 137.92 on April 12, 2024. VDE gained -27.41 points, or -24.80%, in 12 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (133.06) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. VDE may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See VDE weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought weekly overbought Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since February 23, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See VDE short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 17, 2024 at 130.21 and reached 133.05 on April 19, 2024. VDE gained -2.84 points, or -2.18%, in 2 days. The price is now at the 28.17% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See VDE daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since April 11, 2024. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 48.77
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 76.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 12.29
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 28.17
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 2.47
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 73.29
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 26.30
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.98
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 76.83
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.55
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 139.03
Upper Bollinger Band 136.85
Parabolic System 136.48
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 135.85
Quarterly Trendline Support 133.06
20 Day Moving Average 133.01
Price 132.25
Daily Stochastic Crossing 131.32
Lower Bollinger Band 126.80
50 Day Moving Average 126.33
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector
Industry
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 130.21
Low Date 04/17/2024
High 133.05
High Date 04/19/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 130.21
Low Date 04/17/2024
High 133.05
High Date 04/19/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 137.92
High Date 04/12/2024
Low 130.21
Low Date 04/17/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 139.03
Support 133.06
Low 110.51
Low Date 01/18/2024
High 137.92
High Date 04/12/2024
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 131.07
High Date 09/14/2023
Low 110.51
Low Date 01/18/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.