The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Downtrend Resistance
Downtrend Resistance stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Downtrend Resistance stock alert indicates that price is near long-term resistance trendline and probability of short-term trend reversal is high.

The strategy is based on selling long (or taking short) position on downtrend testing resistance. The strategy has low to medium risk and average reword.

Downtrend Resistance

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- 4/26/2024 -
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International Bus. Machines (IBM) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend resistance line
Daily :Broken trend support lineThe price is below the lower Bollinger BandRelative Strength Index oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldStochastic signal line moved above oversold areaLane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence
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It was the negative week for the International Bus. Machines (IBM). During the week, the IBM dropped -14.45 points, or -7.96%, and closed at 167.13 on Friday, April 26, 2024. Weekly volume was 99% above average.

Long-term trend: [See IBM long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 23, 2020 at 90.56 and reached 199.18 on March 12, 2024. IBM gained -108.62 points, or -119.94%, in 207 weeks. The chart has formed a Ascending Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (132.64) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See IBM medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 26, 2021 at 114.56 and reached 199.18 on March 12, 2024. IBM gained -84.62 points, or -73.87%, in 119 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 123.21 and resistance is at 175.25. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See IBM weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since April 12, 2024. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See IBM short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on March 12, 2024 at 199.18 and reached 165.66 on April 25, 2024. IBM lost 33.52 points, or 16.83%, in 44 days. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The downtrend support line (176.18) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See IBM daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Relative Strength Index or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic signal line (%D) has moved above oversold area. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. Daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic and MACD bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since March 14, 2024. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is strong.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 15.57
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 93.30
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 28.46
Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 16.90
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.23 Bullish
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 46.41
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 76.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 37.28
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 34.51
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 10.91
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 194.68
50 Day Moving Average 187.51
20 Day Moving Average 183.77
Weekly Trendline Resistance 181.47
Parabolic System 178.31
Weekly Trendline Support 176.18
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 175.89
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 175.25
Daily Stochastic Crossing 171.37
Lower Bollinger Band 170.02
Price 167.13
Yearly Trendline Resistance 153.54
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 6
Industry IT Consulting & Other Services 19
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 185.71
High Date 04/16/2024
Low 165.66
Low Date 04/25/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 181.47
Support 176.18
High 199.18
High Date 03/12/2024
Low 165.66
Low Date 04/25/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 120.55
Low Date 05/11/2023
High 199.18
High Date 03/12/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 175.25
Support 123.21
Low 114.56
Low Date 11/26/2021
High 199.18
High Date 03/12/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Ascending Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 153.54
Support 132.64
Low 90.56
Low Date 03/23/2020
High 199.18
High Date 03/12/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.