The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Consumer Finance Industry Stocks Technical Analysis - COF

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- 1/16/2026 -
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Capital One Financial (COF) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorLane's Stochastic is overbought
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SARThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the Capital One Financial (COF). During the week, the COF dropped -10.06 points, or -4.04%, and closed at 239.14 on Friday, January 16, 2026. It was the worst weekly loss since October 10, 2025. Weekly volume was 113% above average.

COF is a member of Financials Sector. Financials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See COF long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 7, 2025 at 143.20 and reached 259.64 on January 6, 2026. COF gained -116.44 points, or -81.31%, in 39 weeks. The price is now at the 17.61% retracement level.

Medium-term trend: [See COF medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 17, 2025 at 199.09 and reached 259.64 on January 6, 2026. COF gained -60.55 points, or -30.41%, in 7 weeks. The price is now at the 33.86% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See COF weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following link to access Lane's Stochastic help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since December 12, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See COF short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on January 6, 2026 at 259.64 and reached 224.26 on January 14, 2026. COF lost 35.38 points, or 13.63%, in 8 days. The price is now at the 42.06% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See COF daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since January 8, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is strong.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 41.75
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 53.50
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 26.00
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 38.10
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.85
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 69.53
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 31.20
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 86.41
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 70.55
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 8.32
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Parabolic System 255.24
Upper Bollinger Band 255.19
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 250.84
20 Day Moving Average 245.01
Price 239.14
Daily Stochastic Crossing 234.21
50 Day Moving Average 231.00
Lower Bollinger Band 226.98
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Financials 12
Industry Consumer Finance 76
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 259.64
High Date 01/06/2026
Low 224.26
Low Date 01/14/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 199.09
Low Date 11/17/2025
High 259.64
High Date 01/06/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 143.20
Low Date 04/07/2025
High 259.64
High Date 01/06/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 83.93
Low Date 05/04/2023
High 259.64
High Date 01/06/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 7.80
Low Date 03/09/2009
High 259.64
High Date 01/06/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.