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Motorcycle Manufacturers Industry Stocks Technical Analysis - HOG

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- 9/19/2025 -
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HarleyDavidson (HOG) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :The price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
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It was the negative week for the HarleyDavidson (HOG). During the week, the HOG dropped -1.57 points, or -5.25%, and closed at 28.32 on Friday, September 19, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since April 4, 2025. Weekly volume was 11% above average.

HOG is a member of Consumer Discretionary Sector. Consumer Discretionary is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See HOG long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on March 28, 2024 at 44.16 and reached 20.45 on April 8, 2025. HOG lost 23.71 points, or 53.69%, in 53 weeks. The chart has formed a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 13.86 and resistance is at 31.12. A Broadening Descending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Descending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Descending Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See HOG medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 8, 2025 at 20.45 and reached 31.25 on September 17, 2025. HOG gained -10.80 points, or -52.81%, in 23 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (24.46) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See HOG weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 9, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high, but getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is still strong, and momentum is beginning to wane. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See HOG short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on July 29, 2025 at 22.85 and reached 31.25 on September 17, 2025. HOG gained -8.40 points, or -36.76%, in 50 days. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See HOG daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 11, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 43.67
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 39.40
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 22.62
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 42.29
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.04
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 64.17
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 16.40
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.10
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 76.87
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.42
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Parabolic System 31.16
Monthly Trendline Resistance 31.12
Upper Bollinger Band 30.67
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 30.51
20 Day Moving Average 29.64
Daily Stochastic Crossing 28.78
Price 28.32
Lower Bollinger Band 27.65
50 Day Moving Average 26.86
Weekly Trendline Support 24.46
Weekly Trendline Resistance 24.16
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Consumer Discretionary 10
Industry Motorcycle Manufacturers 105
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Low 22.85
Low Date 07/29/2025
High 31.25
High Date 09/17/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 24.16
Support 24.46
Low 20.45
Low Date 04/08/2025
High 31.25
High Date 09/17/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Broadening Descending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 31.12
Support 13.86
High 44.16
High Date 03/28/2024
Low 20.45
Low Date 04/08/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 51.77
High Date 02/02/2023
Low 20.45
Low Date 04/08/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 52.06
High Date 05/18/2021
Low 20.45
Low Date 04/08/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.