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- 1/16/2026 -
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American Airlines Group (AAL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtStochastic has declined below the signal lineBroken trend resistance line
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SARThe price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger BandsThe Bollinger Bands are historically close together
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It was the negative week for the American Airlines Group (AAL). During the week, the AAL dropped -0.62 points, or -3.88%, and closed at 15.37 on Friday, January 16, 2026. It was the worst weekly loss since November 14, 2025. Weekly volume was 17% above average.

AAL is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See AAL long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on January 16, 2018 at 59.08 and reached 8.25 on May 14, 2020. AAL lost 50.83 points, or 86.04%, in 121 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (7.66) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bullish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AAL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on April 4, 2025 at 8.50 and reached 16.50 on January 7, 2026. AAL gained -8.00 points, or -94.12%, in 39 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 12.97 and resistance is at 15.87. A Rising Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Rising Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Rising Channel pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AAL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. During the last week, weekly Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has declined below the overbought signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since June 20, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AAL short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on November 18, 2025 at 12.11 and reached 16.50 on January 7, 2026. AAL gained -4.39 points, or -36.25%, in 50 days. The chart has formed a Rising Wedge chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AAL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since December 24, 2025.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has declined below the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The distance between the Bollinger Bands (7.81%) is close to one year low (7.75%). It is 62.18% lower than one year average. It indicates the period of low volatility of the stock price, and it is considered a buy signal for the option traders. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 49.07
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 52.90
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 34.04
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 43.41
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.35
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 71.75
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 15.30
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 84.49
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 75.67
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.55
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Parabolic System 16.33
Upper Bollinger Band 16.02
Monthly Trendline Resistance 15.87
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 15.73
20 Day Moving Average 15.62
Price 15.37
Daily Stochastic Crossing 15.35
Lower Bollinger Band 14.84
50 Day Moving Average 14.57
Monthly Trendline Support 12.97
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 11
Industry Airlines 100
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Wedge
Low 12.11
Low Date 11/18/2025
High 16.50
High Date 01/07/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 11.07
Low Date 09/30/2025
High 16.50
High Date 01/07/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 15.87
Support 12.97
Low 8.50
Low Date 04/04/2025
High 16.50
High Date 01/07/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 26.09
High Date 03/18/2021
Low 8.50
Low Date 04/04/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 10.41
Support 7.66
High 59.08
High Date 01/16/2018
Low 8.25
Low Date 05/14/2020
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.