The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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- 5/23/2025 -
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American Airlines Group (AAL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken trend support linePrice is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR20 Day Moving Average has crossed above the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was the negative week for the American Airlines Group (AAL). During the week, the AAL dropped -0.67 points, or -5.65%, and closed at 11.19 on Friday, May 23, 2025. Weekly volume was 21% above average.

AAL is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See AAL long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on January 16, 2018 at 59.08 and reached 8.25 on May 14, 2020. AAL lost 50.83 points, or 86.04%, in 121 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend support line (12.91) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AAL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on January 22, 2025 at 19.10 and reached 8.50 on April 4, 2025. AAL lost 10.60 points, or 55.50%, in 10 weeks. Price is near the Fibonacci 23.6% retracement level. The Fibonacci retracement level is considered a support/resistance level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AAL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly technical indicators are neutral.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since February 21, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is getting weak. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AAL short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on April 4, 2025 at 8.50 and reached 12.45 on May 14, 2025. AAL gained -3.95 points, or -46.47%, in 40 days. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AAL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since April 8, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is getting weak.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the 20 Day Moving Average has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 57.10
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 46.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 35.12
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 48.50
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.26
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 28.35
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 75.80
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 47.14
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 37.86
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.71
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Yearly Trendline Support 12.91
Upper Bollinger Band 12.60
Yearly Trendline Resistance 12.53
Parabolic System 12.32
Daily Stochastic Crossing 11.39
Price 11.19
20 Day Moving Average 11.04
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 10.71
50 Day Moving Average 10.59
Lower Bollinger Band 9.63
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 10
Industry Airlines 31
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Low 8.50
Low Date 04/04/2025
High 12.45
High Date 05/14/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 19.10
High Date 01/22/2025
Low 8.50
Low Date 04/04/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 16.15
High Date 03/04/2024
Low 8.50
Low Date 04/04/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 26.09
High Date 03/18/2021
Low 8.50
Low Date 04/04/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Support
Resistance 12.53
Support 12.91
High 59.08
High Date 01/16/2018
Low 8.25
Low Date 05/14/2020
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.