The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 6/26/2026 -
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American Airlines Group (AAL) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought
Daily :Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are overboughtLane's Stochastic is strongly overbought
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It was a third consecutive positive week for the American Airlines Group (AAL). During the week, the AAL gained 1.88 points, or 11.76%, and closed at 17.87 on Friday, June 26, 2026. It was the best weekly gain since February 6, 2026. Weekly volume was 171% above average.

AAL is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See AAL long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 4, 2025 at 8.50 and reached 18.04 on June 25, 2026. AAL gained -9.54 points, or -112.24%, in 63 weeks. Price is near the trend high.

Medium-term trend: [See AAL medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on March 30, 2026 at 10.09 and reached 18.04 on June 25, 2026. AAL gained -7.95 points, or -78.79%, in 12 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (14.35) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AAL weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since May 15, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AAL short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on June 5, 2026 at 13.18 and reached 18.04 on June 25, 2026. AAL gained -4.86 points, or -36.87%, in 20 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AAL daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range are overbought while Lane's Stochastic is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range or strongly overbought daily Lane's Stochastic. Use the following link to access Relative Strength Index help.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since June 11, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 84.74
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 11.30
Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 90.13
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 87.86
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.82
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 76.69
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 6.90
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 83.62
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 81.41
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.02
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Upper Bollinger Band 18.19
Price 17.87
Daily Stochastic Crossing 17.82
Monthly Trendline Resistance 16.98
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 16.80
Parabolic System 16.05
20 Day Moving Average 15.09
Monthly Trendline Support 14.35
50 Day Moving Average 13.61
Lower Bollinger Band 12.59
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 10
Industry Airlines 115
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 15.40
Low Date 06/17/2026
High 18.04
High Date 06/25/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 13.18
Low Date 06/05/2026
High 18.04
High Date 06/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 16.98
Support 14.35
Low 10.09
Low Date 03/30/2026
High 18.04
High Date 06/25/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 8.50
Low Date 04/04/2025
High 18.04
High Date 06/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 59.08
High Date 01/16/2018
Low 8.25
Low Date 05/14/2020
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.