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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 11/8/2024 -
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Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionLane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtLane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergenceTrend resistance at 306.32
Daily :Lane's Stochastic is overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtDaily  MACD line has moved above its signal lineThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the Automatic Data Processing Inc. (ADP). During the week, the ADP gained 16.60 points, or 5.75%, and closed at 305.30 on Friday, November 8, 2024. Weekly volume was -15% below average.

ADP is a member of Information Technology Sector. Information Technology is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See ADP long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on April 26, 2023 at 201.46 and reached 306.90 on November 8, 2024. ADP gained -105.44 points, or -52.34%, in 80 weeks. The chart has formed a Ascending Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (237.43) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ADP medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on July 10, 2024 at 231.27 and reached 306.90 on November 8, 2024. ADP gained -75.63 points, or -32.70%, in 17 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The price is near the trend resistance line (306.32). The resistance is usually stronger when technical indicators are overbought. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with price testing the trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ADP weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD have bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic and MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Lane's Stochastic and MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since July 26, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ADP short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on October 29, 2024 at 284.40 and reached 306.90 on November 8, 2024. ADP gained -22.50 points, or -7.91%, in 10 days. The price is now at the 7.11% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ADP daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought daily Williams' Percentage Range.

During the last week, daily MACD line has moved above its signal line. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 71.76
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 84.56
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 83.66
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 3.61
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 77.82
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 1.60
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 89.04
Overbought Bearish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.24
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 9.76 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 306.32
Price 305.30
Daily Stochastic Crossing 304.67
Upper Bollinger Band 303.50
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 302.56
20 Day Moving Average 292.36
Parabolic System 289.18
Weekly Trendline Support 288.00
50 Day Moving Average 284.15
Lower Bollinger Band 281.20
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 256.24
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Information Technology 9
Industry Internet Services & Infrastructure 84
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 284.40
Low Date 10/29/2024
High 306.90
High Date 11/08/2024
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Test Resistance
Resistance 306.32
Support 288.00
Low 231.27
Low Date 07/10/2024
High 306.90
High Date 11/08/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 205.53
Low Date 11/01/2023
High 306.90
High Date 11/08/2024
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Ascending Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 256.24
Support 237.43
Low 201.46
Low Date 04/26/2023
High 306.90
High Date 11/08/2024
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 26.46
Low Date 05/06/2010
High 306.90
High Date 11/08/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.