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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 9/25/2026 -
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American Electric Power (AEP) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorBroken trend resistance lineLane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldBroken trend support line
Daily :Lane's Stochastic oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly oversoldStochastic has raised above the signal line
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It was the negative week for the American Electric Power (AEP). During the week, the AEP dropped -1.65 points, or -1.38%, and closed at 118.35 on Friday, September 25, 2026. Weekly volume was 30% above average.

AEP is a member of Utilities Sector. Utilities is the most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See AEP long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on March 31, 2009 at 24.00 and reached 140.58 on July 7, 2026. AEP gained -116.58 points, or -485.75%, in 901 weeks. The chart has formed a Ascending Triangle chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (82.23) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, although a short-term pull back is possible. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AEP medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on October 6, 2023 at 69.39 and reached 140.58 on July 7, 2026. AEP gained -71.19 points, or -102.59%, in 143 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (121.74) is broken. Usually a broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal, but since daily indicators are oversold a short-term pull back is possible. AEP may retest the broken support line. It is considered to be a resistance line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AEP weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since May 8, 2026. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AEP short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on September 8, 2026 at 126.34 and reached 116.71 on September 25, 2026. AEP lost 9.63 points, or 7.62%, in 17 days. The price is now at the 17.03% retracement level.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AEP daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Lane's Stochastic is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold daily Lane's Stochastic or strongly oversold daily Williams' Percentage Range. During the last week, daily Lane's Stochastic main line (%K) has rallied above the oversold signal line (%D). Such crossover is considered a bullish signal.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since September 15, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting stronger.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 24.61
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 91.50
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 13.38
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.50
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.59
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 39.68
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 96.60
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 11.94
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 17.62
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 0.54
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Quarterly Trendline Resistance 141.04
Upper Bollinger Band 125.99
50 Day Moving Average 125.18
Monthly Trendline Resistance 121.87
20 Day Moving Average 121.86
Quarterly Trendline Support 121.74
Parabolic System 120.73
Price 118.35
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 118.23
Daily Stochastic Crossing 117.39
Lower Bollinger Band 117.04
Monthly Trendline Support 112.31
Yearly Trendline Resistance 106.57
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Utilities 1
Industry Electric Utilities 12
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 126.34
High Date 09/08/2026
Low 116.71
Low Date 09/25/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 126.34
High Date 09/08/2026
Low 116.71
Low Date 09/25/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 121.87
Support 112.31
High 140.58
High Date 07/07/2026
Low 116.71
Low Date 09/25/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 141.04
Support 121.74
Low 69.39
Low Date 10/06/2023
High 140.58
High Date 07/07/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Ascending Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 106.57
Support 82.23
Low 24.00
Low Date 03/31/2009
High 140.58
High Date 07/07/2026
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.