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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 2/14/2025 -
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AES Corp. (AES) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorRelative Strength Index oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversoldRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic bullish divergence
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversoldThe price has risen above the Parabolic SARPrice has crossed above the 50 Day Moving Average
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It was the negative week for the AES Corp. (AES). During the week, the AES dropped -0.64 points, or -6.05%, and closed at 9.93 on Friday, February 14, 2025. Weekly volume was 69% above average.

AES is a member of Utilities Sector. Utilities is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See AES long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on December 13, 2022 at 29.89 and reached 9.90 on February 13, 2025. AES lost 19.99 points, or 66.88%, in 113 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Medium-term trend: [See AES medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on October 1, 2024 at 20.30 and reached 9.90 on February 13, 2025. AES lost 10.40 points, or 51.23%, in 19 weeks. Price is near the trend low.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AES weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic have bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 18, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AES short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on January 6, 2025 at 13.44 and reached 9.90 on February 13, 2025. AES lost 3.54 points, or 26.34%, in 38 days. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AES daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is below its signal line since February 10, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low, but getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term downtrend is getting stronger.

During the last week, the price has risen above the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR below the price is a bullish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the upward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

During the last week, the price has advanced above the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bullish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 26.18
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 88.20
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 17.73
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 18.56
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.56
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 18.63
Oversold Bullish
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 97.50
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 8.22
Strong Oversold Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 15.12
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -1.42 Bullish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
50 Day Moving Average 12.07
Upper Bollinger Band 12.02
20 Day Moving Average 10.90
Parabolic System 10.31
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 10.20
Daily Stochastic Crossing 10.03
Price 9.93
Lower Bollinger Band 9.82
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Utilities 9
Industry Electric Utilities 65
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
High 13.44
High Date 01/06/2025
Low 9.90
Low Date 02/13/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 13.95
High Date 12/09/2024
Low 9.90
Low Date 02/13/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 20.30
High Date 10/01/2024
Low 9.90
Low Date 02/13/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 22.21
High Date 05/31/2024
Low 9.90
Low Date 02/13/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 29.89
High Date 12/13/2022
Low 9.90
Low Date 02/13/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.