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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 1/24/2025 -
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A.O. Smith (AOS) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Broken trend support lineWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold
Daily :A Parabolic SAR indicator is above and near the pricePrice has crossed below the 50 Day Moving AverageThe price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands
Move cursor over the icon to see details.

It was the negative week for the A.O. Smith (AOS). During the week, the AOS dropped -1.24 points, or -1.73%, and closed at 70.57 on Friday, January 24, 2025. Weekly volume was 50% above average.

Long-term trend: [See AOS long-term trend chart]
A long-term uptrend had started on October 13, 2022 at 46.58 and reached 92.45 on July 18, 2024. AOS gained -45.87 points, or -98.48%, in 92 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend support line (86.19) is broken. A broken support is considered to be a long-term bearish signal. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend support in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AOS medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on July 18, 2024 at 92.45 and reached 67.17 on January 3, 2025. AOS lost 25.28 points, or 27.34%, in 24 weeks. The price is now at the 13.45% retracement level.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AOS weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly oversold Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 11, 2024. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AOS short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 3, 2025 at 67.17 and reached 73.16 on January 21, 2025. AOS gained -5.99 points, or -8.92%, in 18 days. The chart has formed a Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 67.27 and resistance is at 74.37. A Broadening Ascending Wedge pattern is considered to be a reversal formation. It usually appears in a mature trend, characterized by overbought/oversold long-term and short-term indicators, and often generates divergence on long-term indicators. Use the following link to access a Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge pattern in a short-term trend.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AOS daily technical indicators chart]
Daily technical indicators are neutral.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since January 3, 2025. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up.

A Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal) indicator (69.96) comes close to the price (70.57). It indicates that the trend is getting weaker. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price is close to the moving average in the center of the Bollinger Bands. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

During the last week, the price has crossed below the 50 Day Moving Average. Such crossover is considered a bearish signal. The moving average crossover signals work better when the stock develops a strong trend, but they are ineffective when the stock is in a trading range. Moving average crossover systems can be effective, but should be used in conjunction with trend patterns, momentum indicators, candlesticks and other aspects of technical analysis. Use the following links to access Moving Average Crossover trading technique, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Moving Average close to the price level.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 63.41
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 34.70
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 71.42
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 66.70
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.40
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30.71
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 84.30
Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 19.61
Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 25.77
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -2.64
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Weekly Trendline Resistance 74.37
Upper Bollinger Band 73.58
Daily Stochastic Crossing 72.03
50 Day Moving Average 71.36
Price 70.57
Parabolic System 69.96
20 Day Moving Average 69.57
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 69.27
Lower Bollinger Band 67.34
Weekly Trendline Support 67.27
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 7
Industry Building Products 44
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 73.16
High Date 01/21/2025
Low 70.29
Low Date 01/23/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Broadening Right-Angled, Ascending Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 74.37
Support 67.27
Low 67.17
Low Date 01/03/2025
High 73.16
High Date 01/21/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 92.06
High Date 09/27/2024
Low 67.17
Low Date 01/03/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 92.45
High Date 07/18/2024
Low 67.17
Low Date 01/03/2025
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Support
Resistance 102.05
Support 86.19
Low 46.58
Low Date 10/13/2022
High 92.45
High Date 07/18/2024
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.