The Greedy Trader Weekly Analysis
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Uptrend Exhaustion

Uptrend Exhaustion stock alert presents a technical analysis stock market picking technique based on combination of technical indicators, stock trend analysis, trend following indicators and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. Uptrend Exhaustion alert indicates that long term uptrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Uptrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for overvalued stocks.

The strategy is based on selling (or taking a short) position on anticipation of uptrend reversal.

Uptrend Exhaustion

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- 2/6/2026 -
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A.O. Smith (AOS) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Overbought sectorBroken uptrend resistance line - uptrend exhaustionRelative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overboughtWilliams' Percentage Range is strongly overboughtMACD bearish divergenceBroken trend resistance line
Daily :Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overboughtThe price is above the upper Bollinger Band
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It was a second consecutive positive week for the A.O. Smith (AOS). During the week, the AOS gained 5.49 points, or 7.47%, and closed at 78.98 on Friday, February 6, 2026. Weekly volume was 36% above average.

AOS is a member of Industrials Sector. Industrials is the most overbought sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See AOS long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on July 18, 2024 at 92.45 and reached 58.83 on April 9, 2025. AOS lost 33.62 points, or 36.37%, in 37 weeks. The chart has formed a Symmetric Triangle chart pattern. The downtrend resistance line (64.41) is broken. Usually a broken resistance is considered to be a long-term bullish signal, but since daily indicators are overbought a short-term pull back is possible. AOS may retest the broken resistance line. It is considered to be a support line now. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See AOS medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term uptrend had started on November 18, 2025 at 62.96 and reached 79.23 on February 6, 2026. AOS gained -16.27 points, or -25.84%, in 11 weeks. The chart has formed a Rising Channel chart pattern. The uptrend resistance line (70.66) is broken, while daily and weekly technical indicators are overbought. Uptrend is exhausted and trend reversal is possible soon. Use the following links to access Trend Support/Resistance Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with broken trend resistance line in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See AOS weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic are overbought while Williams' Percentage Range is strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with overbought weekly Relative Strength Index and Lane's Stochastic or strongly overbought weekly Williams' Percentage Range. Weekly MACD has bearish divergence. Use the following links to access the MACD help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with weekly MACD bearish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is above its signal line since January 2, 2026. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is relatively high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term uptrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See AOS short-term trend chart]
A short-term uptrend had started on January 28, 2026 at 69.36 and reached 79.23 on February 6, 2026. AOS gained -9.87 points, or -14.23%, in 9 days. Price is near the trend high.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See AOS daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly overbought. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with strongly overbought daily overbought Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since January 29, 2026. This is an indication that the short-term trend is up. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current short-term uptrend is strong.

The price has closed on Friday above the upper Bollinger Band. It is considered a bullish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 68.00
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 5.30
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 93.87
Strong Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 85.53
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) 1.61
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 86.10
Overbought
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 3.20
Strong Overbought
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 88.11
Overbought
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 82.77
Overbought
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -0.13 Bearish
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
Price 78.98
Upper Bollinger Band 78.92
Daily Stochastic Crossing 78.55
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 77.91
Monthly Trendline Resistance 75.04
20 Day Moving Average 73.02
Parabolic System 72.82
Monthly Trendline Support 70.66
50 Day Moving Average 69.80
Yearly Trendline Resistance 69.20
Lower Bollinger Band 67.81
Yearly Trendline Support 64.41
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Industrials 10
Industry Building Products 92
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Low 69.36
Low Date 01/28/2026
High 79.23
High Date 02/06/2026
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 69.36
Low Date 01/28/2026
High 79.23
High Date 02/06/2026
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Rising Channel
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 75.04
Support 70.66
Low 62.96
Low Date 11/18/2025
High 79.23
High Date 02/06/2026
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Up
Chart Pattern Uptrend
Status
Resistance
Support
Low 58.83
Low Date 04/09/2025
High 79.23
High Date 02/06/2026
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Symmetric Triangle
Status Broken Resistance
Resistance 69.20
Support 64.41
High 92.45
High Date 07/18/2024
Low 58.83
Low Date 04/09/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.