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Downtrend exhaustion - Stock Market Timing Signals and trading strategies.

Downtrend exhaustion stock alert presents a stock market trading strategy based on combination of timing signals, technical indicators, trend analysis and pattern recognition. Stock market alert is a warning signal. It indicates that long term downtrend is exhausted and probability of long term trend reversal is high. Downtrend exhaustion stock market alert presents relatively low to medium risk - high reword stock pick for undervalued stocks. The strategy is based on taking long position on anticipation of downtrend reversal. Downtrend exhaustion timing strategy and stock trading system presents alerts for S&P 500 index members, ETFs and market indices. As S&P 500 trading system it shows excellent results for index timing also.

Downtrend Exhaustion

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- 12/5/2025 -
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Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE) Technical Analysis

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Summary:
Weekly :Oversold sectorRelative Strength Index oversoldWilliams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold
Daily :The price has fallen below the Parabolic SARThe price is below the lower Bollinger BandWilliams' Percentage Range is oversoldLane's Stochastic bullish divergence
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It was the negative week for the Alexandria Real Estate Equities (ARE). During the week, the ARE dropped -8.19 points, or -15.26%, and closed at 45.48 on Friday, December 5, 2025. It was the worst weekly loss since October 31, 2025. Weekly volume was 159% above average.

ARE is a member of Real Estate Sector. Real Estate is the second most oversold sector. Sector/industry rotation is considered a proven strategy to beat the market. Use the following links to find overbought/oversold technical indicators by Sector or by Industry.

Long-term trend: [See ARE long-term trend chart]
A long-term downtrend had started on December 31, 2021 at 224.95 and reached 45.47 on December 5, 2025. ARE lost 179.48 points, or 79.79%, in 205 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Wedge chart pattern. The trend support level is at 52.11 and resistance is at 44.09. A Falling Wedge is a triangle formation with a noticeable slant to the downside. It represents the loss of a downside momentum on each successive low and has a bullish bias. The Falling wedge usually marks a reversal in a downtrend. In an uptrend a falling wedge is considered to be a continuation pattern. Use the following link to access a Falling Wedge chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Wedge pattern in a long-term trend.

Medium-term trend: [See ARE medium-term trend chart]
A medium-term downtrend had started on September 19, 2025 at 88.24 and reached 45.47 on December 5, 2025. ARE lost 42.77 points, or 48.47%, in 11 weeks. The chart has formed a Falling Channel chart pattern. The trend support level is at 40.03 and resistance is at 46.12. A Falling Channel represents price movement contained between parallel lower (support) and upper (resistance) trend lines. Trading Channeling stocks is one of the most reliable and accurate trading techniques that provide traders with precise entry and exit points as well as stop-losses and take-profit recommendations. Use the following link to access a Falling Channel chart pattern help, or use a Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with Falling Channel pattern in a medium-term trend.

Weekly Technical Indicators: [See ARE weekly technical indicators chart]
Weekly Relative Strength Index is oversold while Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic are strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with oversold weekly Relative Strength Index or strongly oversold weekly Williams' Percentage Range and Lane's Stochastic. Oscillators are designed to signal a possible trend reversal. They can act as alerts and should be taken in conjunction with other technical analysis tools. Oscillators can be used to confirm other technical signals. Use the following links to access Lane's Stochastic, Relative Strength Index and Williams' Percentage Range help.

The weekly MACD line is below its signal line since October 24, 2025. This is an indication that the medium-term trend is down. The distance between MACD and the signal line is near its high and getting bigger. It indicates that the current medium-term downtrend is strong. Use the following link to access a MACD help.

Short-term trend: [See ARE short-term trend chart]
A short-term downtrend had started on November 28, 2025 at 54.45 and reached 45.47 on December 5, 2025. ARE lost 8.98 points, or 16.49%, in 7 days. Price is near the trend low.

Daily Technical Indicators: [See ARE daily technical indicators chart]
Daily Williams' Percentage Range is strongly oversold. Use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily strongly oversold Williams' Percentage Range. Daily Lane's Stochastic has bullish divergence. Use the following links to access the Lane's Stochastic help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with daily Lane's Stochastic bullish divergence. The divergence between price and indicator is considering one of the most important buy/sell stocks trading signal.

The daily MACD line is above its signal line since November 19, 2025. The distance between MACD and the signal line is low and getting smaller.

During the last week, the price has fallen below the Parabolic SAR (stop and reversal). A Parabolic SAR above the price is a bearish signal, and it indicates that momentum is likely to remain in the downward direction. A Parabolic SAR is used as a trailing stop loss for long or short positions. It works best during strong trending periods. Use the following links to access Parabolic SAR Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the Parabolic SAR close to the price level.

The price has closed on Friday below the lower Bollinger Band. It is considered a bearish signal. The Bollinger Bands are often used with a non-oscillator indicator like chart patterns or a trendline. The signals are considered more reliable if these indicators confirm the recommendation of the Bollinger Bands. Use the following links to access the Bollinger Bands Help, or use the Technical Stock Screener to see the list of stocks with the price above the Upper Bollinger Band or below the Lower Bollinger Band.

Daily Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 30.97
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 94.20
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 36.85
Bullish
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 24.54
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -4.40
Weekly Oscillators
Description Value Status Divergence Chart
Relative Strength Index (RSI) 17.58
Oversold
Williams' Percentage Range (W%R) 98.50
Strong Oversold
Lane's Stochastic (%D-Slow) 4.81
Strong Oversold
Greed/Fear Indicator (GFI) 10.99
Oversold
Moving Average Converg./Diverg. (MACD) -5.20
Trading Signals
Description Value Chart
50 Day Moving Average 64.18
Upper Bollinger Band 58.42
Parabolic System 53.65
Yearly Trendline Support 52.11
20 Day Moving Average 51.62
Daily Stochastic Crossing 47.89
Lower Bollinger Band 47.75
Weekly Stochastic Crossing 47.19
Monthly Trendline Resistance 46.12
Price 45.48
Yearly Trendline Resistance 44.09
Monthly Trendline Support 40.03
Sector and Industry
Description Name Rank
Sector Real Estate 2
Industry Office REITs 14
Daily Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
High 54.45
High Date 11/28/2025
Low 45.47
Low Date 12/05/2025
Weekly Trend
Monthly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 54.45
High Date 11/28/2025
Low 45.47
Low Date 12/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Channel
Status Valid
Resistance 46.12
Support 40.03
High 88.24
High Date 09/19/2025
Low 45.47
Low Date 12/05/2025
Quarterly Trend
Yearly Trend
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern DownTrend
Status
Resistance
Support
High 135.45
High Date 12/14/2023
Low 45.47
Low Date 12/05/2025
Description Value
Direction Down
Chart Pattern Falling Wedge
Status Valid
Resistance 44.09
Support 52.11
High 224.95
High Date 12/31/2021
Low 45.47
Low Date 12/05/2025
Warning: TheGreedyTrader.com presents weekly analysis. Technical indicators and trend parameters are calculated for the close of business day indicated on the top right corner of the screen.